- Matchup: San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcast: Prime Video
- Point Spread: San Antonio (-4.5)
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The Western Conference Semifinals see the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) face off against the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Target Center on Friday, with the series tied at 1-1. Minnesota is opening as 4.5-point underdogs, with an over/under set at 215.5.
In Game 2, San Antonio dominated with a decisive 133-95 victory. The Spurs finished the game shooting 50.0% from the field (45 of 90) and sank 16 of their 39 three-point attempts. From the free-throw line, they converted 27 of 33, achieving an impressive 81.8%. On the boards, they collected 55 rebounds, including 13 offensive ones, and dished out 29 assists while forcing 22 turnovers and making 13 steals. Defensively, San Antonio limited Minnesota to a shooting percentage of 39.8% (35 of 88). Minnesota managed 19 assists and recorded 7 steals but struggled with rebounds, pulling down just 43 total (12 offensive, 31 defensive) and registering 9 blocks. The Timberwolves shot 51.6% from the free-throw line, hitting 16 of 31 attempts, and connected on 9 of 30 shots from beyond the arc. The Spurs committed 28 personal fouls, while Minnesota had 25.
Stephon Castle made a significant impact in the last game, scoring 21 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He played for 24 minutes and grabbed 4 rebounds while hitting 60.0% of his shots and providing 4 assists.
San Antonio comes into this matchup with a stellar 62-20 record for the season. They average 119.8 points per game, ranking 3rd in the NBA, and shoot 48.3% from the field. The Spurs also boast a 35.9% three-point shooting percentage (1,116 of 3,108) and a free-throw rate of 78.7%. Collectively, San Antonio averages 47.0 rebounds per game and has made 2,302 assists, placing 9th in the league. They average 13.5 turnovers and 18.9 personal fouls per game.
On defense, San Antonio forces 13.0 turnovers per game and draws 20.2 fouls. They rank 12th in assists allowed, giving up 2,148 assists throughout the season. The Spurs allow opponents to shoot 45.1% from the field (3,366 of 7,469) and yield an average of 42.6 rebounds per game, with an opponent shooting rate of 35.2% from downtown. They are ranked 8th in points allowed per game (111.5).
Minnesota struggled in Game 2, being heavily outmatched on both ends of the floor. They secured 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive ones for a total of 43 rebounds. However, they turned the ball over 22 times while recording 7 steals. The Spurs’ 28 fouls sent Minnesota to the free-throw line 31 times, converting 16 attempts for a percentage of 51.6%. Minnesota shot 9 of 30 from three-point territory (30.0%) and finished Game 2 with an overall shooting percentage of 39.8% (35 of 88). The Timberwolves allowed San Antonio to make 45 of 90 field-goal attempts (50.0%) while shooting 41.0% from beyond the arc (16 of 39) and making 27 of 33 at the charity stripe (81.8%). Minnesota allowed San Antonio to grab 55 total rebounds (13 offensive).
Anthony Edwards contributed 12 points in his 24 minutes on the court, shooting 5 of 13 (38.5%) and pulling down 3 rebounds but did not record any assists.
Minnesota has a season record of 49-33. They average 21.2 fouls per game and convert 75.2% from the free-throw line. The Timberwolves record 26.1 assists per game, ranking them 16th in the NBA, and have an average of 14.8 turnovers per contest. They’ve scored a total of 9,676 points for the season (118.0 per game) and secure an average of 44.1 rebounds.
Defensively, Minnesota is ranked 12th in points allowed per game (114.6). They force 15.0 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field (7th in the league). The Timberwolves give up 35.5% on three-pointers (990 of 2,786) and their opponents succeed 78.1% at the charity stripe. They allow an average of 26.0 assists and 43.7 rebounds per game, ranking them 10th and 16th in the league.
What’s tonight’s parlay prediction?
Pick: Take Minnesota (+4.5) and the over 215.5 points
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