King Green vs Jeremy Stephens Analysis, 05/09/2026 Insights UFC Vegas 117 Odds

• King Green vs Jeremy Stephens
• UFC Vegas 117
• Meta APEX in Las Vegas
• Scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026

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In an exciting matchup, King Green will take on Jeremy Stephens at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Currently, the betting lines feature Green at -350 and Stephens at +285.

King Green aims to enhance his record to 35 wins, 17 losses, and 1 no contest (1 NC). At 39 years old, he competes at 155 lbs and stands 5’10” tall with a reach of 71″. On the other hand, Jeremy “Lil’ Heathen” Stephens, also 39, weighs in at 155 lbs and is slightly shorter at 5’9″, bringing his professional record to 29 wins and 22 losses (0 NC). Both fighters share the same reach of 71″. Regarding striking stats, Green lands an impressive 6.38 significant strikes per minute, while Stephens averages 3.15. Green boasts a striking accuracy of 53%, compared to Stephens’ 40%. Defensively, Green absorbs 3.58 significant strikes per minute, whereas Stephens allows 3.14. Green successfully defends against 62% of his opponents’ significant strikes, while Stephens manages 58%.

In the takedown department, King Green averages 1.31 takedowns per 3 rounds, successfully bringing his opponents to the ground 42% of the time. He also stops 72% of takedown attempts from his adversaries. In contrast, Stephens completes 38% of his takedown attempts and defends against 62%. Regarding submission attempts, Green averages 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds, while Stephens attempts 0.4 submissions.

In his previous fight, King Green achieved a victory against Daniel Zellhuber via knockout in the second round. Zellhuber managed to connect on 17 of 78 total strikes, while Green excelled with 100 out of 148. In terms of significant strikes, Zellhuber’s accuracy was just 21%, landing only 7 out of 59 aimed at the head. On the flip side, Green landed 64% of his significant strikes, connecting on 86 out of 134, with 39 hitting the head. Notably, both fighters succeeded almost entirely at a distance.

In his last outing, Jeremy Stephens faced Mason Jones and lost by unanimous decision in the third round. Jones connected on 91% of his significant strikes at a distance, while Stephens was slightly behind, hitting 97% of his own. Overall, Stephens landed 42 of 108 significant strikes, including 19 aimed at the head. Jones, in that bout, showcased effective striking with 81 out of 231 significant strikes.

Highlighted Fights on the Card

Another exciting match to watch features Ateba Gautier vs. Ozzy Diaz. Gautier boasts a record of 10-1-0. The 24-year-old fighter weighs 185 lbs and stands 6’4″ with an 81″ reach. Diaz, matching Gautier in weight and height, enters with a record of 10-3-0, and is 35 years old with a 79″ reach. In grappling, Gautier scores 0.49 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Diaz achieves 0.70 takedowns per 3 rounds. In striking stats, Gautier connects with an average of 4.44 strikes per minute at an accuracy of 48%, while Diaz lands 6.44 strikes per minute with 50% accuracy.

Another highly anticipated matchup will see Yaroslav Amosov face Joel Alvarez. Alvarez, holding a record of 23-3-0, weighs 170 lbs and is 6’3″ tall. Amosov, with a stellar record of 29-1-0, stands at 6’0″ tall and also weighs 170 lbs. Alvarez successfully defends 47% of takedown attempts against him and completes 33% of his attempts. Amosov, in comparison, finishes 50% of his takedowns and stops 15% of those attempted by his opponents. In terms of striking, Alvarez absorbs 3.07 strikes per minute while landing 4.78, whereas Amosov takes just 1.55 strikes per minute and lands 2.78.

Who emerges victorious in tonight’s UFC matchup?

Prediction: Back King Green (-350)