Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Date: Saturday, August 23, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES Network
Betting Odds: Boston (+172) New York (-210)
The Boston Red Sox (68-59) travel to Yankee Stadium on Saturday to face off against the New York Yankees (69-57). The odds for this contest place the Red Sox at +172, while the Yankees are favored at -210. The total for this game is set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers for the evening are Garrett Crochet and Will Warren.
The Red Sox boast a slugging percentage of .426, striking out 1,116 times and walking 407 times throughout the season. They have amassed 603 RBIs alongside 1,090 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .253. Collectively, Boston has hit 257 doubles and launched 151 home runs, scoring a total of 629 runs. Their team on-base percentage stands at .323, with the Red Sox averaging 5.0 runs per game, currently placing them 4th in Major League Baseball.
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The strikeout-to-walk ratio for Boston stands at 2.49, and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 129 home runs and 538 total runs this season, ranking 16th in the league. They have allowed 1,050 hits, averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings, and have given up 471 earned runs. The team’s earned run average is 3.76, placing them 6th in MLB, with 1,028 strikeouts recorded. They have issued 413 walks, resulting in a collective FIP of 4.04 over the entire season.
The Red Sox bullpen has achieved a save rate of 58.9%, facing 123 save situations. The relievers have inherited 169 base runners, with 30.2% of those runners scoring. They’ve entered 126 times with runners on base, including 150 high-leverage situations. Boston has deployed a total of 409 relief pitchers this season. Collectively, they’ve garnered 65 holds (21st in MLB), totaling 33 saves, missing out on 23 from 56 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Red Sox have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs over 10,143 innings, placing them 24th in Major League Baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have recorded 3,381 putouts, 1,162 assists, and 97 errors to date. Their fielding percentage stands at .979, ranking 29th in professional baseball, alongside 103 double plays turned.
Crochet has pitched 378 innings across his career, striking out 490 batters. With a career record of 22-24, he possesses a FIP of 2.88 while facing 1,548 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 2.93 (123 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.121. He has allowed 310 hits (averaging 7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 114 walks.
The Yankees feature a team slugging percentage of .446, averaging 5.13 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They’ve recorded 202 doubles, walked 481 times, and scored a total of 636 runs. New York has hit 195 home runs and accumulated 611 RBIs. They have struck out 1,081 times (9th in baseball) and recorded 1,050 hits, holding a team on-base percentage of .330 and a batting average of .250 this season.
The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.254 and a FIP of 4.05. They currently rank 3rd in MLB for total hits allowed (948), have given up 140 home runs, and yield 4.40 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The New York pitching staff has allowed 537 runs overall, with an earned run average of 4.02 (491 earned runs allowed).
The Yankees’ relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 26.5% from 200 inherited runners. They’ve entered high leverage situations on 124 occasions and have been called upon 135 times with runners on base. The team has faced 126 save situations, achieving 75 holds and suffering 17 blown saves. They rank 8th in MLB with a 66.0% save percentage, sending 415 relievers to the mound this year. New York’s relievers have entered 50 save opportunities, converting 33 saves.
Defensively, the Yankees have a 70.9% efficiency rating over 9,888 innings (6th in MLB). New York has turned 81 double plays with a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). This season, they have tallied 1,050 assists, committed 69 errors, and achieved 3,296 putouts.
Warren holds a career record of 7-8 with a 5.19 earned run average, allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.65 as he has faced 664 batters in MLB. He has allowed 86 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.454 and a FIP of 5.10. In his career, Warren has given up 152 hits and recorded 172 strikeouts over 149 innings.
Who will clinch victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Choose New York (-210)
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