- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+132) Boston (-160)
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This Saturday, the Boston Red Sox (16-22) will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (25-12) at Fenway Park. The betting odds favor the Red Sox opening at -160, while the Rays are set at +132. The total runs for this matchup sit at 8. Starting pitchers for the game will be Nick Martinez and Ranger Suarez.
As a collective, the Tampa Bay Rays generate an average of 4.5 runs per game, placing them 12th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 167 runs and carry an on-base percentage of .330. The Rays boast 46 doubles and have hit 31 home runs this season. They have accumulated 157 RBIs along with 319 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .257. The team’s slugging percentage stands at .379, while they have registered 257 strikeouts while drawing 123 walks.
The Rays have a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.17. They have surrendered 38 home runs and a total of 148 runs, ranking them 6th in the league. Tampa Bay has allowed 275 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) with 131 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.54, which is 4th in MLB. They have struck out 287 batters and issued 116 walks, while their FIP for the season is 4.01.
This season, Rays’ bullpen pitchers have been involved in high-pressure situations 42 times and have accumulated 31 holds (2nd in MLB). Their save percentage stands at 80.0%, having entered 51 save opportunities with 16 successful saves and 4 blown saves out of 20 attempts. To date, the bullpen has inherited 44 base runners, with 29.5% of them scoring. Overall, Tampa Bay has utilized 120 relief pitchers this season.
The Rays have converted 72.8% of balls in play into outs over 3,000 innings, ranking 3rd in MLB. They have recorded 1,000 putouts, 299 assists, and 26 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .980, placing them 29th in professional baseball, with 21 double plays turned.
Nick Martinez, with a career record of 51-60, holds a FIP of 3.99 and has faced 4,155 batters in MLB. He has allowed 968 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) along with 299 walks. His career ERA stands at 4.05, having yielded 442 earned runs, and he maintains a WHIP of 1.290. Totaling 982 innings pitched, he has recorded 698 strikeouts throughout his career.
The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .353, averaging 4.03 runs per game, ranking 24th in MLB. They have 60 doubles, 127 walks, and 153 runs scored this season. Boston has hit 27 home runs and amassed 146 RBIs, with 323 strikeouts (11th in MLB) and 302 total hits. Their on-base percentage is .315, and their batting average stands at .237.
Boston’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.316 and a FIP of 4.41 in 2023. They rank 20th in MLB for total hits allowed with 313. Their pitchers have yielded 164 runs so far this year, maintaining an ERA of 4.11 (153 earned runs). With a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (301 strikeouts versus 128 walks), they have also conceded 46 home runs, averaging 4.40 runs allowed per nine innings (15th in MLB).
In 29 save opportunities, the Red Sox have achieved 18 holds and 4 blown saves. Their relievers entered 11 save situations, successfully securing 7. The Boston bullpen has a 32.0% inherited score percentage from 50 inherited runners. They have faced 32 high-leverage situations and dealt with baserunners on 34 occasions, boasting a 63.6% save percentage, currently ranking 15th in MLB, having deployed 116 relief pitchers this season.
In 3,018 innings, the Red Sox have maintained a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (15th in the majors). They have turned 30 double plays with a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 14th in professional baseball. The Red Sox have also logged 347 assists, made 18 errors, and achieved 1,006 putouts so far this year.
On the mound, Ranger Suarez has allowed 755 hits with 737 strikeouts in 801 innings throughout his career. With a WHIP of 1.255 and a FIP of 3.3, he has given up 298 earned runs. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.95, having faced 3,345 hitters in MLB. Suarez holds a career record of 55-39 and an earned run average of 3.35, yielding 8.5 hits per nine innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Boston (-160) with the under on 8 runs
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