Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa Preview, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

• Clayton Carpenter vs Jose Ochoa
• UFC Vegas 117 Event Preview
• Meta APEX Venue in Las Vegas
• Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

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Clayton Carpenter is set to battle Jose Ochoa at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The odds indicate Carpenter at +150 and Ochoa at -175.

Clayton Carpenter, aiming for a victory to increase his record of 8-2-0, is a 29-year-old fighter who weighs 125 lbs and stands at 5’6″. His reach measures 66 inches. Jose “Kalzifer” Ochoa, on the other hand, is 25 years old, stands 5’7″ tall, weighs 125 lbs, and boasts a 67-inch reach. Ochoa seeks to improve his record of 8-2-0 (1 NC). In terms of striking, Carpenter averages 3.66 significant strikes landed per minute while Ochoa averages 3.01. Carpenter has a striking accuracy of 53%, compared to Ochoa’s 37%. On the defensive side, Carpenter absorbs 2.57 significant strikes per minute, while Ochoa receives 2.33. Carpenter successfully defends against 55% of incoming strikes, while Ochoa manages to defend 60%.

In terms of takedowns, Clayton Carpenter demonstrates more proficiency, averaging 1.99 takedowns per 3 rounds with a success rate of 46%. He also defends against 37% of takedown attempts from opponents. Comparatively, Jose Ochoa successfully executes 50% of his takedown attempts and defends 59% of the takedowns aimed at him. On the submission front, Carpenter averages 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes, while Ochoa aims for 1.5 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his most recent fight, Clayton Carpenter faced Jafel Filho and lost by kimura in round one. Filho landed 28 out of 38 strikes thrown during that bout. Carpenter managed to land 12 of 27 total strikes. Reviewing significant strikes, Filho connected on 5 of 13, achieving a 38% success rate, with 1 of 6 significant strikes aimed at the head. Carpenter, on his side, landed 7 out of 21 significant strikes, resulting in a success percentage of 33%. 80% of Filho’s significant strikes and 71% of Carpenter’s were scored from a distance.

In his last Octagon appearance, Jose Ochoa competed against Asu Almabayev and lost by unanimous decision after three rounds. Almabayev landed 59% of his significant strikes at distance while Ochoa hit 65% of his. Ochoa managed to land 26 out of 45 significant strikes, including 8 out of 19 aimed at the head. Almabayev achieved 22 out of 42 significant strikes. In total strikes, Almabayev was 55 out of 90, whereas Ochoa connected on 118 out of 151 attempts.

Key Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the clash between Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland. Chimaev enters this fight with an impressive record of 15-0-0, weighing 185 lbs and standing at 6’2″ tall with a reach of 75″. Strickland, on the other hand, is 35 years old, weighs 185 lbs, stands 6’1″, and holds a record of 30-7-0. In terms of takedowns, Chimaev averages 5.29 per 15 minutes while Strickland only averages 0.71. When it comes to striking, Chimaev lands 4.04 strikes per minute with a 60% strike accuracy, compared to Strickland’s 42% success rate and 6.04 strikes landed per minute.

Another matchup to look forward to features Tatsuro Taira against Joshua Van. Van, with a record of 16-2-0, is 24 years old, weighs 125 lbs, stands 5’5″ with a reach of 65″. Taira, 26 years old, measures at 5’7″, weighs 125 lbs, and aims to bolster his 18-1-0 record. He possesses a reach of 70 inches. In the takedown department, Joshua Van successfully defends 81% of attempts against him and completes 63% of his takedowns, while Taira completes 46% and stops 45% of takedown attempts. In striking metrics, Van absorbs 6.39 strikes per minute but connects on 8.84, whereas Taira takes 2.44 and lands 2.94 strikes per minute.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC showdown against the spread?

Prediction: Take Clayton Carpenter (+150)