Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
TV: YES Network
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+172) New York (-210)
The Boston Red Sox (69-59) are set to face the New York Yankees (69-58) this Sunday at Yankee Stadium. The current betting odds place the Red Sox at +172, while the Yankees are favored at -210. The projected total for the game stands at 8.5 runs, with Dustin May and Carlos Rodon expected to take the mound.
This season, the Red Sox have recorded 260 doubles and launched 153 home runs. They boast a slugging percentage of .425 while striking out 1,129 times and earning 422 walks. Collectively, the Red Sox are scoring an average of 5.0 runs per game, ranking them 4th in MLB. They’ve notched 610 runs batted in, amassing 1,108 hits and a batting average of .252, along with an on-base percentage of .324.
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The Red Sox currently hold an earned run average of 3.74 for the season (5th in the league), with their pitching staff striking out 1,046 batters. They’ve allowed 130 home runs and a total of 545 runs (15th in MLB). Collectively, they’ve walked 425 batters, boasting a FIP of 4.04 this season. The staff has surrendered 1,064 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and given up 477 earned runs, recording a K/BB ratio of 2.46 and a WHIP of 1.30.
The Red Sox bullpen has entered with base runners on 131 occasions and appeared in high-leverage situations 155 times. They’ve earned 67 holds this season (20th in the league) and have converted 59.6% of their save opportunities, recording 34 saves out of 57 chances. Their bullpen has inherited 174 runners, with 31.6% scoring. This year, the Red Sox have called upon 421 relief pitchers.
The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 3,441 putouts this season, along with 1,183 assists and 98 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in MLB) and executing 103 double plays. The Red Sox are turning 69.1% of balls in play into outs during their 10,323 defensive innings, ranking 24th in the league.
Dustin May has pitched 310 innings in his career, recording 288 strikeouts with an earned run average of 3.68 (127 earned runs). He has a WHIP of 1.173 and has allowed 260 hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 104 walks. With a career win-loss record of 19-18, May has faced 1,294 batters in the major leagues, holding a FIP of 3.63.
For the Yankees, they have hit 210 home runs and recorded 633 RBIs this season. They’ve also achieved 204 doubles, while drawing 493 walks and scoring 658 runs. The New York Yankees are posting an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .251 this year, holding a team slugging percentage of .453. They average 5.18 runs per game (2nd in MLB) and have 1,110 strikeouts (6th in the league), totaling 1,083 hits.
The Yankees maintain a team WHIP of 1.257 and a collective FIP of 4.05 this season. They currently hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.00 (1,131 strikeouts versus 444 walks) and rank 3rd in the league for total hits allowed with 972. They’ve given up 142 home runs and allow an average of 4.40 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league), with a team ERA of 4.00 (500 earned runs allowed).
New York’s relief pitchers have inherited runners at a scoring rate of 25.2% out of their 210 inherited base runners. They’ve entered high-leverage situations 131 times and have had runners on base during 140 appearances. In 130 save situations, they accumulated 76 holds and 19 blown saves, ranking 10th in the MLB with a 64.2% save rate. This season, the Yankees have used 426 relief pitchers, achieving 34 saves out of 53 save opportunities.
The Yankees have executed 82 double plays and recorded a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in MLB), with 1,079 assists and 74 errors, totaling 3,380 putouts this season. Their efficiency in defense stands at 70.8% after 10,140 innings, ranking 8th in professional baseball.
In his career, Carlos Rodon has surrendered 1,056 hits while accumulating 1,375 strikeouts across 1,238 innings. His career record is 88-70, with a 3.78 ERA, allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. Rodon has permitted a total of 520 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.227 and a FIP of 3.7, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.96 against 5,209 batters faced.
Which team will secure the win in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Bet on Boston (+172)
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