Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Florida
Betting Odds: Toronto (-130) Miami (+110)
The Toronto Blue Jays (74-54) are heading to loanDepot park this Sunday aiming to secure a victory against the Miami Marlins (60-67). The current line shows the Blue Jays at -130, while the Marlins are at +110. The total betting line is set at 9 runs, with Kevin Gausman and Eury Perez expected to take the mound.
The Blue Jays have amassed 229 doubles and hit 151 home runs as a team. With a slugging percentage of .428, they have struck out 865 times while drawing 418 walks. Collectively, the Toronto Blue Jays rank 7th in MLB, averaging 4.9 runs per game, having posted 601 RBIs and 1,168 hits this season. Their batting average stands at .267, contributing to a total of 625 runs and an on-base percentage of .337.
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The Blue Jays currently hold a team ERA of 4.21 (20th in MLB) with 1,131 strikeouts recorded by the pitching staff. They have surrendered 170 home runs and 572 runs (21st in MLB). Their pitchers have issued 411 walks and finished the year with a FIP of 4.33. So far, Toronto’s staff has conceded 1,024 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 530 earned runs, resulting in a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.27.
With a save rate of 64.8%, the Blue Jays’ bullpen has been called into action in 132 save situations. Relievers have inherited 191 runners this season, with 29.3% of those scoring. Toronto’s relief pitchers have appeared 131 times in high-pressure situations, dispatching 440 arms to the mound throughout the season. They hold 75 holds to date (ranked 11th in the league) and have converted 35 saves from 54 opportunities.
Defensively, the Blue Jays have transformed 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs, ranking them 12th in the league. This season, Toronto has recorded 3,401 putouts, 952 assists, and 71 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in MLB). The team has executed 91 double plays.
Gausman (career record: 110-111) has a FIP of 3.78 and has faced 7,806 batters in his MLB career. He has given up 1,795 hits (8.7 per nine innings) and 527 walks, resulting in an ERA of 3.84 (795 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.245 over 1,865 innings pitched, with 1,907 strikeouts.
On the other side, the Miami Marlins have hit 124 home runs and recorded 525 RBIs this season. With 211 doubles and 385 walks, they have scored 549 runs. Miami holds a .315 OBP and a .251 batting average. Their slugging percentage is at .396, averaging 4.32 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have also struck out 995 times and accumulated 1,087 hits.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has allowed 611 runs with a team ERA of 4.52, yielding 565 earned runs. They have given up 138 home runs while allowing 4.89 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The team’s WHIP stands at 1.298, with a FIP of 4.11. The Marlins have posted a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.10 (1,007 strikeouts to 389 walks), ranking them 21st in total hits allowed with 1,070.
Miami’s relief pitchers have appeared in 49 save situations, successfully converting 30 saves, which puts them at 20th in save percentage (61.2%). They have cycled through 389 pitchers this season, with their relievers taking the mound 132 times in high leverage situations and 94 times with runners on base. Their inherited score percentage stands at 31.4%, while they have amassed 67 holds out of 117 save situations and have messed up 19 saves.
The Miami Marlins have executed 85 double plays and exhibit a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). They have recorded 1,077 assists, 64 errors, and 3,373 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency is at 69.7% across 10,119 innings on the field (15th in MLB).
Perez (career record: 10-9) brings a 3.30 ERA with an average of 6.5 hits allowed per nine innings. Holding a K/BB ratio of 3.16, he has faced 632 hitters throughout his MLB journey. Perez has permitted 57 earned runs, possesses a WHIP of 1.082, and has a FIP of 3.3. Over his professional career, he has given up 113 hits while recording 174 strikeouts in 155 innings.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Take Miami (+110)
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