- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox
- Event Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+120) Boston (-144)
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On Tuesday, the Boston Red Sox (17-23) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (19-22) at Fenway Park. The betting odds stand with Philadelphia at +120 while Boston leads at -144, and the total runs line is set at 8.5. The game features pitchers Zack Wheeler for the Phillies and Brayan Bello for the Red Sox.
The Phillies have collectively made 60 doubles and hit 49 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .396, they’ve recorded 325 strikeouts and 122 walks. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are bringing in an average of 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They’ve gathered 167 RBIs and 331 hits, placing their batting average at .237. Their on-base percentage (OBP) is at .303 with 170 runs scored overall.
This season, the Phillies have a team earned run average of 4.57, placing them 25th in the league, while their pitching staff has struck out 394 batters. They have permitted 41 home runs and a total of 202 runs, also placing them 25th in MLB. The team has issued 126 walks, with a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 3.59. The total of 392 hits allowed translates to 9.6 hits per nine innings, with 186 earned runs contributed to their ERA. The strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 3.13 with a combined WHIP of 1.41.
The Phillies have utilized 146 relievers this season. The relief unit has inherited 54 runners, with 31.5% scoring. They have achieved 13 holds this year, ranking 28th in the league. Relievers have entered 44 times with runners on base and have faced high-leverage situations 35 times. They have attained 8 saves, missing 4 out of 12 save opportunities, which equates to a save rate of 66.7% out of 25 save situations.
Defensively, the Phillies have converted 64.9% of balls in play into outs over 3,297 innings, ranking last in MLB. They’ve recorded 1,099 putouts, 361 assists, and 19 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .987, placing them 12th in the league, along with 22 double plays turned.
Wheeler has pitched for 1,745 innings throughout his career, accumulating 1,838 strikeouts. With a win-loss record of 114-75, Wheeler has a FIP of 3.23, facing 7,154 batters. His ERA is 3.28 after permitting 636 earned runs, while he holds a career WHIP of 1.136. Over his career, he’s allowed 1,486 hits, averaging 7.7 hits per nine innings, and issued 496 walks.
The Boston Red Sox have achieved a team OBP of .314 and a batting average of .235 so far this season. They have struck out 338 times (15th in MLB), amassing 314 hits. The Red Sox have connected for 29 home runs and driven in 149 runs. Their slugging percentage is .353, averaging 3.90 runs per game, placing them 27th in MLB. They’ve hit 64 doubles while walking 132 times, resulting in 156 runs scored.
Boston’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 4.31 this season. They hold a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.10, tallying 318 strikeouts against 132 walks. Their total hits allowed amount to 325, ranking them 17th in MLB. They’ve surrendered 47 home runs, allowing 4.28 runs per nine innings (12th in MLB). The Boston staff has given up 168 runs total, with an ERA of 4.00 (157 earned runs).
This season, the Red Sox have had 31 save situations, achieving 19 holds and 4 blown saves. The bullpen has been called into 12 save opportunities, obtaining 8 saves. The inherited scoring percentage stands at 32.1% from 53 inherited runners. Relief pitchers have faced high-leverage situations 32 times, with 36 situations involving runners on base, sitting 8th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and employing 123 relievers this season.
Defensively, the Boston Red Sox have turned 32 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .987 (14th overall). They recorded 366 assists, 19 errors, and 1,060 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 70.4%, ranking 14th in professional baseball over 3,180 innings played.
Bello, with a career win-loss record of 41-40, holds an earned run average of 4.29, allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.31, having faced 2,496 batters in his MLB career. He has given up 274 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.394 and a FIP of 4.20, while conceding 591 hits and tallying 488 strikeouts in 575 innings.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Philadelphia at +120
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