- Matchup: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Detroit (+150) New York (-182)
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The Detroit Tigers (19-22) are set to travel to Citi Field this Tuesday to clash with the New York Mets (15-25). The betting line currently positions Detroit at +150, whereas New York opens at -182. The total run line is established at 8.5. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Jack Flaherty and Freddy Peralta.
The Detroit Tigers have been averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 19th in Major League Baseball. With a total of 175 runs scored, their on-base percentage stands at .325. The Tigers have landed 77 doubles and launched 37 home runs thus far. They’ve also tallied 166 RBIs alongside 330 total hits, leading to a team batting average of .242. Their slugging percentage is currently at .391, having struck out 341 times while drawing 157 walks.
This season, the Tigers boast a team ERA of 3.90, placing them 11th in the league, with 342 strikeouts registered. They have allowed 34 home runs and 171 runs total (12th in MLB). The pitching staff has issued 142 walks, presenting a FIP of 3.76. Detroit has given up 323 hits, averaging 8.2 hits per nine innings, with a total of 154 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.41 and their WHIP is 1.31.
This season, the Tigers have employed 123 relievers. The bullpen has had 75 inherited runners, with a 33.3% scoring rate. They have accumulated 17 holds (ranking 24th in the league). Relief pitchers have entered games in 46 high-pressure situations, achieving 9 saves out of 17 opportunities, giving them a 52.9% save success rate amidst 35 total save scenarios.
Defensively, the Detroit Tigers have achieved 1,065 putouts, along with 345 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding percentage is .984, which ranks 25th in the majors, and they have executed 37 double plays. Overall, they’ve converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs over 3,195 innings, placing them 23rd in MLB.
Flaherty has pitched 1,024 innings in his career, recording 1,172 strikeouts. With a career win-loss record of 63-59, he registers a FIP of 3.80 against 4,282 batters faced. His earned run average is 3.86, having allowed 439 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.214. He has given up 866 hits, averaging 7.6 hits every nine innings.
The New York Mets have recorded an on-base percentage of .287, accompanied by a batting average of .222 this season. They’ve struck out 309 times (27th in MLB) and have amassed 295 hits, along with 31 home runs and 132 RBIs. Their slugging percentage is .341, leading to 3.48 runs scored per game (29th in MLB). The Mets have hit 55 doubles, drawn 118 walks, and scored 139 runs.
The Mets’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 3.54. The strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 9.50, with 376 strikeouts against 140 walks. They rank 10th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 311, and have relinquished 34 home runs, averaging 4.27 runs per nine innings (11th). Their collective ERA stands at 3.85 (153 earned runs allowed) after giving up 170 total runs.
In 23 save scenarios, the Mets have secured 12 holds and faced 5 blown saves. They have sent bullpen pitchers to the mound in 11 save opportunities, successfully converting 6 saves. Their inherited runners have scored 39.3% of the time out of 56. Additionally, they have entered 53 high-leverage situations and performed with runners on base 41 times, ranking 24th in MLB with a 54.5% save success rate. Over the season, they’ve used 119 relievers.
Through 3,222 innings, the Mets’ defensive efficiency is at 69.7%, placing them 19th in the league. The Mets have turned 23 double plays, achieving a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB), while tallying 334 assists, 20 errors, and 1,074 putouts for the season.
In his MLB career, Peralta has allowed 728 hits and has achieved 1,196 strikeouts over 974 innings. He has given up a total of 386 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.135 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.16, having faced 4,038 batters in his professional journey. Peralta sports a career record of 72-45, with an earned run average of 3.57, allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Detroit (+150)
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