- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: San Diego (+125), Milwaukee (-145)
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On Tuesday, the Milwaukee Brewers (22-16) will host the San Diego Padres (24-16) at American Family Field. The betting odds favor San Diego at +125, whereas Milwaukee stands at -145, with a total set at 8.5 runs. Pitchers scheduled to take the mound are Matt Waldron and Brandon Sproat.
San Diego boasts a .370 slugging percentage and has recorded 333 strikeouts, along with 131 walks this season. With 163 RBIs and 292 hits, they hold a batting average of .223. The Padres have hit 62 doubles and launched 39 home runs, accumulating 170 runs while maintaining a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .297. Averaging 4.3 runs per game, San Diego ranks 20th in the league.
The Padres’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.69, with a collective WHIP of 1.23. They’ve surrendered 35 home runs and a total of 167 runs, placing them 8th in MLB. The team has allowed 312 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 162 earned runs, resulting in a season ERA of 4.07 (16th in baseball) and 350 strikeouts. Their batting lineup has issued 130 walks, and their FIP stands at 3.68 for the year.
This season, the Padres have utilized 134 relief pitchers, with their bullpen inheriting 61 runners—36.1% of whom have scored. They have compiled 28 holds (6th in MLB) and have faced runners on base 36 times, with 44 high-leverage appearances. With a total of 14 saves, they have converted 7 out of 21 save opportunities, resulting in a 66.7% save rate in 51 situations.
Defensively, the Padres have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs across 3,222 innings, ranking 11th in MLB. They’ve achieved 1,074 putouts, 361 assists, and committed 10 errors this season, leading to a fielding percentage of .993, placing them 2nd overall. They have also turned 29 double plays.
Matt Waldron has a career record of 9-16, with a FIP of 5.06, having faced 909 batters in the majors. He’s allowed 214 hits (9.2 per nine innings) and issued 63 walks, boasting an ERA of 5.13 with a WHIP of 1.317. Over his career, he has pitched 210 innings, tallying 182 strikeouts.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .353 and average 5.13 runs per game, ranking 5th in the league. They have hit 59 doubles, issued 173 walks, and scored 195 runs. With 26 home runs this season, Milwaukee has 187 RBIs but has struck out 302 times (28th in MLB) and collected 305 hits, holding a .240 batting average and a .333 OBP.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 141 runs this season, holding an ERA of 3.43 (with 129 earned runs). They’ve given up 30 home runs and allowed 3.75 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Brewers possess a team WHIP of 1.245 and a FIP of 3.45, ranking 3rd in the league with a K/BB ratio of 9.70 (366 strikeouts vs. 140 walks).
Ranked 13th in MLB with a 64.7% save rate, Milwaukee has called upon 126 relievers this season. Their bullpen has experienced 39 high-leverage situations and faced runners on base 34 times. With 38 save chances, they’ve recorded 20 holds and suffered 6 blown saves, converting 11 out of 17 save opportunities.
Defensively in 3,045 innings, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in MLB), allowing 30 double plays. Their fielding percentage stands at .987 (11th in MLB), having recorded 302 assists, 17 errors, and 1,015 putouts this season.
Brandon Sproat, with a career record of 0-4, holds a 5.54 ERA, surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.88, having faced 215 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 31 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.429 and a FIP of 5.5. To date, Sproat has recorded 47 strikeouts over 50 innings pitched, allowing 47 hits.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take San Diego (+125)
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