Matchup: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, August 24, 2025
Venue: Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network South
Betting Lines: New York (-132) Atlanta (+110)
The Atlanta Braves (58-69) host the New York Mets (67-60) this Sunday at Truist Park. The moneyline odds feature the Mets at -132, while the Braves are valued at +110. The total runs set for this matchup is 8.5, with David Peterson and Bryce Elder taking to the mound, respectively.
The Mets have notched 205 doubles and hit 167 home runs as a team this season. With a slugging percentage of .418, they’ve struck out 1,023 times and walked 439. Averaging 4.5 runs per game, they rank 13th in the league, accumulating a total of 554 RBIs and 1,034 hits, boasting a batting average of .244. They have scored 569 runs and maintain a team on-base percentage of .321.
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The Mets carry an earned run average of 3.81 this season (11th in MLB), having struck out 1,088 batters overall. They have allowed 117 home runs and 533 runs (12th in MLB), with pitchers walking 453 batters. Their FIP stands at 3.90 for the season. New York has yielded 1,025 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 476 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.31.
Mets’ relievers have entered games with runners on base 136 times and have featured in 156 high-leverage situations. They boast 80 holds this season, ranking 8th in the league. With a save rate of 62.1%, the bullpen has been called upon in 138 save chances, securing 36 saves while missing on 22 of their 58 opportunities. Mets relievers have inherited 202 runners this year, with 34.7% of those scoring. In total, they have dispatched 415 relievers to the mound during the season.
The Minnesota Twins have recorded 3,375 putouts this season, along with 1,146 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage reflects .987, placing them 11th in MLB, with 94 double plays turned. The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs across 10,125 innings, ranking 18th in the league.
Peterson has pitched for 598 innings with 591 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average stands at 3.87 (257 ERs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.343. He has surrendered 555 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has issued 248 walks. With a career win-loss record of 36-29, Peterson holds a FIP of 3.81 and has faced 2,547 batters in Major League Baseball.
The Atlanta Braves possess a team on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .245 this season. They have struck out 1,098 times (12th in the league), amassing 1,057 hits. The Braves have hit 143 home runs and brought in 537 RBIs. Averaging 4.39 runs per game, they stand 15th in the league with a slugging percentage of .394. Atlanta has hit 191 doubles and walked 457 times, totaling 557 runs scored.
The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.294 and a collective FIP of 4.11 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (1,110 strikeouts against 423 walks). Currently, they rank 14th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,032, giving up 147 home runs while conceding 4.54 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball). As a staff, the Braves have allowed 567 runs on the year, with an ERA of 4.30 (537 earned runs).
With 96 save chances, the Braves have earned 55 holds but also have 16 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have entered 41 save situations and secured 25 saves. The bullpen has appeared in 131 high-leverage scenarios and 128 times with base runners on. The inherited scoring percentage for Atlanta’s bullpen stands at 38.2%, from 170 inherited runners. They rank 21st in the league with a save percentage of 61.0%, using 408 relievers this season.
Over 10,122 innings on the field, the Braves’ defensive efficiency is 70.0% (14th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have turned 87 double plays and achieved a .990 fielding percentage (2nd in the majors). The Braves have tallied 1,091 assists, 44 errors, and 3,374 putouts this season.
In his MLB career, Elder has allowed 399 hits while recording 311 strikeouts across 389 innings. Posting a WHIP of 1.400, Elder has yielded 207 earned runs and holds a FIP of 4.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.13, having faced 1,687 batters throughout his professional baseball journey. Elder holds a career win-loss record of 21-22 and has an earned run average of 4.79, allowing 9.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup, against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Back Atlanta (+110)
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