- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Boston Red Sox
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+125) Boston (-150)
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On Thursday, the Boston Red Sox (17-24) will host the Philadelphia Phillies (20-22) at Fenway Park. The betting line has the Phillies at +125 and the Red Sox at -150, with a total set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers for this matchup are Jesus Luzardo and Ranger Suarez.
The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 334 times, while managing to walk 124 times. They’ve tallied 169 RBIs and accumulated 336 hits, bringing their batting average to .235. The team has 61 doubles and has hit 50 home runs, scoring a total of 172 runs, with an on-base percentage of .301. Currently, the Phillies are averaging 4.1 runs per game, placing them 25th in the league.
The Phillies have a K/BB ratio of 3.16 and their pitching staff features a team WHIP of 1.40. They’ve allowed 41 home runs and 203 runs, ranking 23rd in the league. With a total of 399 hits given up (9.6 per 9 innings) and 186 earned runs, the Philadelphia pitching staff has maintained a 4.46 team ERA this season (23rd overall), with a total of 401 strikeouts. The unit has also walked 127 opposing hitters, and their FIP stands at 3.56.
The Phillies’ relievers have entered games with runners on base 45 times and have appeared in 37 high-pressure situations. They have recorded 14 holds this season (27th in the league). The bullpen has a save rate of 69.2% from 27 opportunities, successfully converting 9 saves while faltering on 4 of their 13 save attempts. The relievers have inherited 55 baserunners this season, with 30.9% scoring. The Phillies have utilized 148 pitchers from the bullpen throughout the season.
On defense, the Phillies have converted 65.0% of balls put in play into outs in 3,378 innings, ranking them last in the MLB. They have achieved 1,126 putouts, registered 372 assists, and committed 20 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .987 (16th in MLB), along with 24 double plays.
Jesus Luzardo has pitched 738 innings, amassing 832 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.29 (allowing 352 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.254. He has surrendered 677 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and issued 249 walks, holding a career record of 44-44 and a FIP of 4.23 against 3,094 batters faced.
The Boston Red Sox have hit 29 home runs and accumulated 150 RBIs this season, including 64 doubles. With 157 runs scored, Boston holds an on-base percentage of .313 and a team batting average of .235. Their slugging percentage is .351, averaging 3.83 runs per game (27th in the league). They’ve struck out 345 times (16th overall) and gathered 322 hits.
The Red Sox pitching staff has allowed 170 runs this year with an ERA of 3.95 (159 earned runs). They’ve given up 48 home runs and allow 4.23 runs per 9 innings, ranking 12th in the league. With a team WHIP of 1.281 and a FIP of 4.29, the staff’s strikeout to walk ratio stands at 8.10 (327 strikeouts versus 134 walks), placing them 14th in total hits allowed with 330.
The Boston bullpen has faced inherited baserunners with a scoring rate of 32.1%, having been involved in 53 inherited runners. They have stepped up 32 times in high-leverage situations and 36 times with runners on base. With 31 save opportunities, the Red Sox have achieved 19 holds and incurred 4 blown saves, ranking 10th in MLB with a 66.7% save rate. A total of 126 relievers have taken the mound for Boston this season.
Defensively, the Red Sox have turned 32 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (11th overall). They have compiled 375 assists, committed 18 errors, and recorded a total of 1,087 putouts. In their 3,261 innings on the field, the Red Sox exhibit a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (11th in the league).
Ranger Suarez, holding a career record of 55-39, has a 3.35 ERA while yielding 8.5 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.95, having faced 3,345 batters throughout his professional career. He has given up 298 earned runs and sports a WHIP of 1.255 with a FIP of 3.3. Suarez has allowed 755 hits while notching 737 strikeouts in 801 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in this night’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Boston (-150)
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