- Matchup: New York Yankees vs New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-122), New York Mets (+102)
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This exciting showdown takes place at Citi Field, where the New York Mets (18-25) are set to face off against the New York Yankees (27-17) on Saturday. The betting line currently favors the Yankees at -122, while the Mets are positioned at +102. The over/under for this game has been established at 9 runs, with Carlos Rodon and David Peterson anticipated as the starting pitchers.
The New York Yankees have racked up an impressive 73 doubles this season and have hit 66 home runs. They currently hold a slugging percentage of .433 and have recorded 386 strikeouts while drawing walks 200 times. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Yankees rank 4th in Major League Baseball. This season, they have amassed 212 RBIs and 336 hits, resulting in an overall batting average of .234. They also boast a total of 223 runs with a robust on-base percentage of .330.
This season, the Yankees hold a strong team ERA of 3.22, ranking 2nd in the league, with a total of 384 strikeouts recorded by their pitchers. They’ve allowed 35 home runs and 154 runs (ranking 4th in the league). Yankees pitchers have issued 133 walks, contributing to a collective FIP of 3.46 for the season. The team has surrendered 316 hits (averaging 7.3 per 9 innings) and has accumulated 139 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.89, with a combined WHIP of 1.15.
The Yankees’ bullpen has faced runners on base 49 times and has made 50 high-leverage appearances. With a total of 24 holds this season (15th in league standings), their relief pitchers have achieved a save rate of 55.6%, capitalizing on 10 of 18 opportunities. Out of 78 inherited runners this season, 28.2% scored against the Yankees, who have deployed 140 relief pitchers so far.
Defensively, the Yankees have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs throughout 3,501 innings, ranking 6th in MLB. They’ve accumulated 1,167 putouts, alongside 413 assists and 24 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .985, which ranks 23rd in MLB, along with 33 double plays executed.
Rodon has pitched a total of 1,286 innings and has notched 1,413 strikeouts. His career ERA sits at 3.74, having allowed 535 earned runs, while his WHIP is 1.220. He has permitted 1,087 hits, averaging 7.6 per nine innings, and has issued 482 walks with a career record of 93-72 and a FIP of 3.69, facing 5,399 batters.
The New York Mets have a team OBP of .292 and a batting average of .226 this season. They’ve struck out 331 times (26th in MLB) and recorded 325 hits. With 36 home runs so far, they have driven in 153 runs. Their slugging percentage is .349, and they average 3.74 runs per game, positioning them 29th in the league. They’ve achieved 56 doubles, walked 130 times, and tallied 161 runs.
The Mets’ pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.262 and a FIP of 3.55 this season. Their K/BB ratio is 9.50 (406 strikeouts to 151 walks), ranking 10th in MLB for total hits allowed with 336. They’ve given up 37 home runs and allow 4.15 runs per 9 innings, coming in at 11th overall. The Mets’ pitchers have allowed 178 runs this season, with an ERA of 3.75 (surrendering 161 earned runs).
With 23 save opportunities this season, the Mets have amassed 12 holds alongside 5 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been called upon in 11 save chances, achieving 6 successful saves. The New York bullpen has an inherited scoring rate of 38.6% out of 57 inherited runners and has stepped onto the mound in high-leverage situations 56 times, 43 of which had runners on base. Currently, they rank 24th in the league with a save rate of 54.5%, having deployed 127 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the New York Mets have executed 26 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). With a sum of 353 assists, 21 errors, and 1,158 putouts throughout the season, they’ve played 3,474 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in MLB).
Peterson holds a career record of 38-34 with an ERA of 4.21, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and has faced 2,852 batters throughout his career. Having surrendered 309 earned runs, his WHIP stands at 1.382 with a FIP of 4.1. Over his MLB tenure, Peterson has allowed 638 hits while accumulating 652 strikeouts in 661 innings pitched.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s thrilling MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on New York (-122)
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