Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Analysis, 8/26/2025 MLB Forecasts, Top Wagers & Betting Lines

Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Scheduled Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Broadcasting On: MASN

Betting Odds: Boston (-130) Baltimore (+110)

The Boston Red Sox (71-60) are set to face the Baltimore Orioles (60-70) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. The moneyline for this encounter shows the Red Sox at -130, while the Orioles are positioned at +110. The over/under for this game is set at 9 runs. On the mound, Lucas Giolito will pitch for Boston, while Kyle Bradish takes the ball for Baltimore.

The Boston Red Sox are averaging 5.0 runs per game, ranking 4th in the MLB. The team has accumulated a total of 653 runs with an on-base percentage of .325. They have hit 266 doubles and launched 155 home runs, driving in 623 RBIs along with 1,136 hits this season, leading to a batting average of .253. Boston boasts a slugging percentage of .425 and has struck out 1,155 times while drawing 436 walks.

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This season, the Red Sox have achieved a team ERA of 3.72, placing them 5th in the league, and have recorded 1,075 strikeouts. Boston’s pitchers have allowed 135 home runs and a total of 553 runs (15th in MLB). They have issued 432 walks, with a team FIP of 4.04. The staff has allowed 1,081 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 485 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio stands at 2.49, while their WHIP is 1.29.

Red Sox relievers have recorded a 60.3% save percentage, entering 129 save situations this year. These relief pitchers have faced 177 inherited runners, with 31.1% scoring. Boston’s bullpen has been called into 133 games with runners on base and has appeared in 158 high-leverage situations. The team has fielded a total of 428 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has accumulated 69 holds (18th in MLB) and 35 saves out of 58 chances.

Defensively, the Red Sox have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs across 10,557 innings, ranking 21st in the majors. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles have notched 3,519 putouts, with 1,206 assists and 99 errors. Their fielding percentage is .979, which places them 29th in the league, and they’ve executed 106 double plays.

Lucas Giolito, over his career, has pitched 1,124 innings and secured 1,168 strikeouts, holding a career win-loss record of 69-64. With a FIP of 4.30 and having faced 4,726 hitters, his ERA stands at 4.36 (545 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.256. He has conceded 990 hits (averaging 7.9 hits per nine innings) and accumulated 422 walks.

The Orioles, on the other hand, hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and average 4.36 runs per game, positioning them 17th in the majors. They have amassed 208 doubles, drawn 365 walks, and scored 567 runs. This year, they have hit 158 home runs and racked up 536 RBIs while striking out 1,124 times (10th in the league) and recording 1,054 hits. Baltimore’s team on-base percentage is .307, and their batting average is .241.

Baltimore’s pitching team has surrendered 639 runs this season, maintaining a team ERA of 4.70 (599 earned runs conceded). They have given up 175 home runs and allow an average of 5.01 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.381 and a FIP of 4.44. Their strikeout to walk ratio stands at 8.40 (1,067 strikeouts against 422 walks), making them 28th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,163.

The Orioles’ relief pitching staff has yielded 25.3% of 174 inherited runners. Their bullpen has entered 135 high-leverage situations and faced runners in 129 games. With 139 save situations this year, they have recorded 87 holds and 17 blown saves. They rank 9th in the league, boasting a save percentage of 64.6%, with 438 relief pitchers used so far. Baltimore’s relievers have faced 48 save chances and secured 31 saves.

In 10,332 innings of play, the Orioles’ defensive efficiency stands at 68.4% (28th in MLB). They have turned 92 double plays and achieved a .985 fielding percentage (19th in MLB). This season, Baltimore has totaled 1,144 assists, made 68 errors, and accounted for 3,444 putouts.

In his career, Kyle Bradish has allowed 278 hits, accumulating 332 strikeouts across 325 innings pitched. He has conceded 129 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.178 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.16, having faced 1,343 batters with a career record of 18-14 and an earned run average of 3.57, allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Baltimore (+110)

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