- Matchup: Houston Astros vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: Marquee
- Betting Odds: Houston (+106) Chicago (-128)
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The Houston Astros (20-31) will face off against the Chicago Cubs (29-21) this Saturday at Wrigley Field. The moneyline for this matchup sees the Astros at +106 while the Cubs open at -128. The total runs are set at 8, with the starting pitchers being Kai-Wei Teng and Colin Rea.
The Astros have recorded a total of 84 doubles and hit 60 home runs as a team. With a slugging percentage of .404, they have struck out 411 times and drawn 171 walks. Currently, the Astros score an average of 4.3 runs per game, placing them 18th in the league. They have racked up 208 RBIs and 422 hits so far this season, with a team batting average of .246. They’ve accumulated 218 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .321.
This season, the Astros have a team earned run average of 5.34, putting them at the bottom of the league (30th). Their pitchers have achieved 431 strikeouts but have also allowed 67 home runs and 274 total runs (29th in the league). Their 249 walks have contributed to a team FIP of 5.00. Houston has conceded 434 hits (averaging 8.8 per 9 innings) alongside 265 earned runs, bringing their strikeout-to-walk ratio to 1.73 and a WHIP of 1.53.
The Astros’ relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 54 times and have participated in high-leverage situations 38 times. Their bullpen has achieved 18 holds this season (26th in the league) and holds an 84.6% save percentage. They’ve entered 31 save situations and recorded 11 saves, failing to convert on 2 of 13 opportunities. The bullpen has inherited 89 runners, with 27.0% scoring. Thus far, the Astros have sent 154 relief pitchers to the mound this season.
The defense has converted 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs over 4,017 innings, ranking them 24th in MLB. Houston has totaled 1,339 putouts, 390 assists, and 17 errors so far, maintaining a fielding percentage of .990—ranking 3rd in the league—and turning 46 double plays.
Kai-Wei Teng has pitched 71 innings, accumulating 76 strikeouts in his professional career. He holds an earned run average of 5.31 (allowing 42 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.447, having given up 66 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 37 walks. With a win-loss record of 4-7 in his career, Teng’s FIP is currently at 5.23 after facing 319 hitters in the majors.
The Chicago Cubs are boasting a team on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .242 this season. They have struck out 417 times (15th in the league) while accumulating 410 hits. The Cubs have also hit 58 home runs and amassed 227 RBIs. Their team slugging percentage stands at .397, scoring an average of 4.92 runs per game (6th in the league). Alongside 76 doubles, they have drawn 228 walks and scored 246 runs.
Chicago’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.227 and a FIP of 4.37. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.10, with 402 strikeouts against 152 walks, positioning them 12th in hits allowed with 393. They’ve allowed 67 home runs and their 4.42 runs allowed per 9 innings rank 14th in MLB. Overall, the Cubs have given up 218 runs this season, compiling a team ERA of 4.07 (201 earned runs conceded).
Holding a save percentage of 58.8% (ranking 21st in MLB), the Cubs have used 151 relievers this season. Their relievers have seen high-leverage situations 50 times and entered games with runners on in 49 instances. With 31 save opportunities, Chicago has accumulated 11 holds and suffered 7 blown saves. They have converted on 10 of 17 save chances, while their relief pitchers have inherited 69 runners, allowing 27.5% to score.
In fielding, the Cubs rank 18th in the majors with a .986 fielding percentage, executing 35 double plays, accounting for 472 assists, 25 errors, and 1,333 putouts. They have displayed a defensive efficiency of 71.9% over 3,999 innings (5th in baseball).
Colin Rea (career record of 41-29) boasts a 4.45 earned run average, allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.72, having faced 2,773 opposing batters. He has given up 323 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.280 and a FIP of 4.40. Over his MLB career, Rea has surrendered 640 hits while recording 533 strikeouts in 653 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in this evening’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Chicago (-128)
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