- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+125), Toronto (-145)
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This Saturday, the Toronto Blue Jays (23-27) will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-24) at Rogers Centre. The betting lines are set with the Pirates favored at +125, while the Blue Jays open at -145. The total runs for this game are projected at 9. Pitching in this matchup will be Paul Skenes for the Pirates and Patrick Corbin for the Blue Jays.
As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are averaging 5.0 runs per game, placing them 5th in the league. They have accumulated 248 runs this season and boast an on-base percentage of .335. The Pirates have secured 73 doubles and launched 52 home runs. With a total of 237 RBIs from 441 hits, their batting average is .253. Furthermore, Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .391, with 459 strikeouts and 196 walks drawn throughout the season.
The Pirates’ pitching staff has an earned run average (ERA) of 3.85, ranking 11th in MLB, with a total of 445 strikeouts. However, they have surrendered 44 home runs and 222 runs, placing them 15th in the league for runs allowed. The team has issued 176 walks, with a FIP of 3.77. On average, Pittsburgh has given up 382 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and allowed 195 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio stands at 2.53, highlighting a collective WHIP of 1.23.
This season, the Pirates have utilized 170 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 59 runners, with 35.6% of them scoring. They have achieved 29 holds this season, ranking 12th in MLB, and have made 54 high-pressure appearances, securing 8 saves out of 20 opportunities. The relief unit holds a save percentage of 40.0%, with 50 save situations this season.
So far in this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have registered 1,367 putouts, 420 assists, and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986, ranking 19th in professional baseball, and they have recorded 37 double plays. The team has converted 71.1% of balls in play into outs over 4,101 defensive innings, placing them 8th in the majors.
Paul Skenes has logged 375 innings in his career, amassing 449 strikeouts with an ERA of 2.06 (86 earned runs). His WHIP is an impressive 0.914, having allowed 261 hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 82 walks. With a career record of 27-16, Skenes has a FIP of 2.03 and has faced 1,455 major league batters.
The Toronto Blue Jays currently have an on-base percentage of .306 and a batting average of .243 for the season. However, they have struck out 352 times (29th in MLB) and managed 408 hits. The Blue Jays have recorded 45 home runs and 195 RBIs thus far, with a team slugging percentage of .370. They average 4.04 runs per game (24th in the league), hitting 76 doubles and drawing 144 walks while scoring 202 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.277, with a FIP of 3.63. Their strikeout to walk ratio stands at 9.30 (458 strikeouts vs. 156 walks). They are 20th in MLB for total hits allowed, with 410 hits given up throughout the season. Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 49 home runs and allowed 4.31 runs per 9 innings, while their combined ERA is 3.92 (193 earned runs allowed).
Toronto’s relief pitchers have permitted 22.8% of 79 inherited runners to score. They have made 62 high-leverage appearances, and 58 out of those were with runners on base. With a total of 55 save situations, the Blue Jays have achieved 32 holds but suffered 10 blown saves, resulting in a save percentage of 52.4%. To date, they have utilized 188 relief pitchers.
Over 3,990 innings in the field, the Blue Jays have managed a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (27th in MLB). Toronto’s defense has turned 37 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in professional baseball) with 411 assists, 31 errors, and 1,330 putouts this season.
In his career, Patrick Corbin has given up 2,223 hits while notching 1,885 strikeouts across 2,085 innings. He has allowed 1,043 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.374 and a FIP of 4.4. With a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93, Corbin has faced 8,976 hitters throughout his MLB tenure. With a career record of 111-143, he has a 4.50 ERA, allowing 9.6 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will come out on top tonight against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (+125)
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