- Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, May 30, 2026
- Location: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- TV: Sportsnet New York
- Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+120) New York (-144)
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On Saturday, the New York Mets (23-33) will face off against the Miami Marlins (26-31) at Citi Field. The current moneyline has Miami at +120, while New York is listed at -144. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, with Tyler Phillips and Christian Scott expected to take the mound.
The Miami Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .376, with 460 strikeouts and 187 walks this season. They’ve accumulated 230 runs batted in and have recorded 460 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .245. Miami has managed to hit 91 doubles and 45 home runs, scoring a total of 241 runs with an on-base percentage of .320. As a team, they average 4.2 runs per game, placing them 16th in the league.
The Marlins have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.36, with a collective WHIP of 1.27 for their pitching staff. This season, Marlins pitchers have allowed 53 home runs and 254 runs, placing them 19th in the league. They’ve given up 430 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) along with 233 earned runs, leading to a team earned run average of 4.19 (18th in baseball). The pitching staff has recorded 481 strikeouts while issuing 204 walks, and their FIP is currently at 3.92.
The Marlins’ relievers have achieved a save percentage of 59.1%, having entered 49 save scenarios and successfully converting 13 saves. They’ve been tasked with inheriting 59 base runners this season, with 22.0% of those scoring runs. Relief pitchers have appeared in 50 high-leverage situations and overall, Miami has used 174 relief pitchers to date. They have recorded 26 holds this season, ranking 21st in the league.
In the field, the Marlins have converted 70.6% of balls in play into outs over 4,506 innings, ranking 11th in professional baseball. They’ve recorded 1,502 putouts, 465 assists, and 37 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .982 which ranks 28th in MLB. Additionally, they have turned 39 double plays this season.
Tyler Phillips has pitched 147 innings throughout his MLB career, accumulating 111 strikeouts. He has an ERA of 3.42 with 56 earned runs allowed, and his career WHIP is 1.242. Phillips has given up 134 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 49 walks. Holding a career record of 6-2, his FIP stands at 3.37 against 617 batters faced.
The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .350 and score an average of 3.82 runs per game (28th in MLB). They’ve accumulated 70 doubles, drawn 162 walks, and produced 214 runs. This season, they’ve hit 50 home runs but have struck out 449 times (22nd in baseball) with a total of 423 hits so far, posting a .226 team batting average and a .292 OBP.
The New York pitching staff has allowed 243 runs this season, boasting a team ERA of 3.91 (218 earned runs allowed). They’ve given up 48 home runs, with an average of 4.36 runs allowed per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Mets currently have a team WHIP of 1.310 and a FIP of 3.65. Their K/BB ratio is 9.40, with 522 strikeouts against 211 walks, ranking 14th in total hits allowed with 447.
In 36 save situations, the Mets have recorded 21 holds and faced 6 blown saves. The bullpen has entered games 15 times for save opportunities, securing 9 saves. Relief pitchers have inherited runs in 34.1% of their 82 inherited base runners. They have appeared 74 times in high-leverage situations and 63 times with runners on base. The Mets are currently 19th in save percentage (60.0%), having used 166 relief pitchers this season.
Defensively, the Mets have a performance efficiency of 69.1% (25th in MLB) in their 4,521 innings. With 31 double plays turned, their fielding percentage stands at .985 (22nd in MLB). They also have recorded 454 assists, 30 errors, and 1,507 putouts this season.
Scott holds a career record of 0-3 with a 4.11 ERA, allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.65, having faced 311 opposing batters. He has surrendered 33 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.274 and a FIP of 4.1. Throughout his professional career, Scott has allowed 66 hits while accumulating 69 strikeouts in 72 innings.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup?
Pick: Take New York (-144)
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