Matchup: Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees
Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Broadcast: YES
Betting Odds: Washington (+110) New York (-132)
The New York Yankees (71-60) host the Washington Nationals (53-78) at Yankee Stadium this Wednesday. The Nationals are entering the contest with odds of +110, while the Yankees are listed at -132, with the total runs set at 9. The starting pitchers for this match are Brad Lord and Max Fried.
This season, the Nationals have tallied 216 doubles and belted 125 home runs. Collectively, they have a slugging percentage of .388 and recorded 1,044 strikeouts against 376 walks. The Nationals are averaging 4.3 runs per contest, ranking them 20th in the majors. They have accumulated 540 RBIs and 1,070 hits, achieving a team batting average of .244. To date, they have scored 562 runs and hold a .309 on-base percentage.
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The Nationals are currently posturing a team ERA of 5.34, placing them 29th in the league, with 996 strikeouts recorded across the season. Washington’s pitchers have surrendered 167 home runs and allowed 720 runs (also 29th in the league). They have issued 445 walks and have a collective FIP of 4.63 this season. The team has relinquished 1,215 hits (9.5 per 9 innings) and 682 earned runs, yielding a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.24, while their collective WHIP stands at 1.44.
This year, Washington has deployed 461 relievers who have inherited 224 base runners, with 39.7% of those scoring. The bullpen has recorded 26 saves but has a conversion rate of just 15 out of 41 chances. They’ve achieved a 63.4% save rate, appearing in 97 save situations. The relief staff has earned 55 holds (27th in MLB) and have faced runners on base 132 times, participating in 101 high-leverage situations.
On defense, the Nationals have totaled 3,448 putouts with 1,117 assists and committed 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is .985, putting them at 20th in the league, with 103 double plays turned. They have converted only 67.8% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 29th in the major leagues across 10,344 innings.
Lord has taken the mound for 100 innings, striking out 82 batters so far in his career. With a career record of 4-7, he has a FIP of 3.80, facing 420 batters. His ERA stands at 3.86 (allowing 43 earned runs) and holds a WHIP of 1.297, permitting 97 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and issuing 33 walks.
The New York Yankees have launched 218 home runs this season, collecting 651 RBIs. They’ve also logged 208 doubles, received 504 free passes, and registered 676 runs scored. With a team on-base percentage of .330 and batting average of .251 thus far, the Yankees boast a slugging percentage of .453 and average 5.16 runs per game, ranking them 2nd in MLB. They’ve struck out 1,147 times (6th in the league) and recorded 1,112 hits.
New York’s collective WHIP is 1.267, and their FIP is 4.04 this season. The team has a K/BB ratio of 9.00, with 1,169 strikeouts versus 463 walks. They rank 4th in the league for total hits allowed, conceding 1,009 overall. The Yankees allow 145 home runs and yield 4.41 runs per nine innings (17th in the league). New York has given up 570 runs for a season ERA of 4.03 (520 earned runs).
In 132 save situations, the Yankees have achieved 78 holds and endured 19 blown saves. Their bullpen has faced 53 opportunities for saves, successfully converting 34. They’ve been involved in 132 high-leverage situations and 143 appearances with runners on base. The Yankees’ inherited score percentage stands at 26.7% of 217 inherited base runners, positioning them 10th in MLB with a 64.2% save rate, having dispatched 436 relievers this season.
In 10,464 innings played, the Yankees’ defensive efficiency is 70.6% (9th in the league). They’ve turned 88 double plays with a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball), accumulating 1,127 assists, 75 errors, and 3,488 putouts this year.
Fried boasts an impressive career record of 86-41, alongside a 3.08 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.53, having faced 4,255 batters during his MLB tenure. He has surrendered 356 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.0. Throughout his career, Fried has conceded 917 hits while compiling 1,011 strikeouts across 1,039 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald’s Prediction: Back Washington (+110)
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