Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025
Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA
Broadcast: Root Sports Northwest
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-196) Seattle (+162)
The San Diego Padres (74-58) are heading to T-Mobile Park on Wednesday to take on the Seattle Mariners (71-61). In this matchup, the moneyline has placed the Padres at -196, while the Mariners stand at +162. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs, with expected starters Yu Darvish and Bryan Woo taking the mound.
The San Diego Padres boast a slugging percentage of .385 and have recorded 923 strikeouts against 426 walks, totaling 519 RBIs and 1,104 hits this season, with a team batting average of .251. The Padres have hit 213 doubles and launched 115 home runs, scoring a total of 554 runs with an on-base percentage of .321. On average, the team scores 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 22nd in the league.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.64, the Padres’ pitching staff comprises a collective WHIP of 1.19. They have allowed 136 home runs and 500 total runs (ranking 2nd in the league). San Diego has surrendered 962 base hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and 463 earned runs, holding a team ERA of 3.57 this season (also ranked 2nd in the league). The staff has recorded 1,134 strikeouts, while walking 430 batters, leading to a team FIP of 3.93.
The Padres’ bullpen has a save percentage of 73.7% and has faced 149 save opportunities. Relief pitchers have inherited 215 runners, with 27.9% scoring. They’ve entered the game with runners on base 152 times and have had 177 high-leverage situations in this season. So far, the Padres have used 461 relief pitchers, achieving 88 holds (5th in the league) along with 42 saves out of 57 chances.
This season, the Padres have converted 72.1% of balls in play to outs over 10,503 innings, placing them 2nd in professional baseball. San Diego has recorded 3,501 putouts, alongside 998 assists and 59 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987, ranking 11th among professional teams with 100 double plays completed.
Yu Darvish has pitched 1,749 innings during his career, tallying 2,046 strikeouts. With a career record of 113-91, he boasts a FIP of 3.57 against 7,186 batters faced. His ERA stands at 3.62 (704 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.135, allowing 1,428 hits (averaging 7.3 hits per nine innings) while issuing 558 walks.
The Seattle Mariners have hit 188 home runs this season, compiling 581 RBIs. They have recorded 181 doubles and earned 443 walks, while driving in a total of 606 runs. The Mariners possess a team on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .242, along with a slugging percentage of .411. They are scoring an average of 4.59 runs per game, placing them 11th in MLB. Seattle has struck out 1,182 times, which ranks 3rd in baseball, with a total of 1,085 hits.
On the pitching side, Seattle has allowed 581 runs this season, holding a team ERA of 3.96 (with 524 earned runs allowed). They’ve given up 161 home runs and permit 4.39 runs per 9 innings (ranking 16th), with a WHIP of 1.258 and a team FIP of 4.13. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,131 strikeouts vs. 399 walks), ranking 22nd in total hits allowed with 1,101.
The Mariners’ bullpen has an inherited run percentage of 25.2% from 119 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have been called into high leverage situations 180 times and have faced runners on base 110 times. With 125 save opportunities, the Mariners have tallied 71 holds, alongside 20 blown saves. They rank 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.0%, having utilized 444 relief pitchers this season, converting 34 of 54 save chances.
Over their 10,731 innings played, the Mariners maintain a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (ranking 12th in professional baseball). They have executed 96 double plays this season and have a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB), with a total of 1,111 assists, 55 errors, and 3,577 putouts.
In his MLB career, Bryan Woo has allowed 291 base hits, with 354 strikeouts in 368 innings pitched. He’s given up 132 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 0.992 and a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio stands at 4.78, having faced 1,467 batters thus far. With a career win-loss record of 24-15, Woo has achieved a 3.23 ERA while allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread? Will it be the moneyline or point spread?
Josh Schonwald’s Recommendation: Back San Diego (-196)
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