- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Miami (+102) New York (-122)
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The Miami Marlins (26-31) head to Citi Field on Sunday to face the New York Mets (23-33). The moneyline for this matchup sees Miami at +102 and New York at -122, with a total set at 8 runs. The starting pitchers are Janson Junk for Miami and Nolan McLean for New York.
This season, the Marlins have achieved a slugging percentage of .376, striking out 460 times while walking 187 times. They’ve accumulated 230 RBIs alongside 460 hits, with a batting average of .245. Miami has recorded 91 doubles and 45 home runs, resulting in a total of 241 runs and an on-base percentage of .320. On average, they are scoring 4.2 runs per game, placing them 16th in the league.
The Marlins’ pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.27. They’ve allowed 53 home runs and 254 total runs (ranked 19th in MLB). Miami’s pitchers have given up 430 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and 233 earned runs. Their team ERA stands at 4.19 (18th in MLB) with 481 strikeouts so far this season. They have issued 204 walks, and their FIP is 3.92.
The Miami bullpen holds a save percentage of 59.1% amid 49 save situations, achieving 13 saves but failing on 9 out of 22 chances. They’ve inherited 59 runners, with 22.0% scoring. The relief pitchers have faced runners on base 41 times and have appeared in high-pressure situations 50 times. In total, 174 relievers have been utilized throughout the season, with 26 holds recorded (21st in MLB).
The Marlins have logged 1,502 putouts, 465 assists, and 37 errors this season. Their fielding percentage sits at .982, ranking them 28th in Major League Baseball. They’ve executed 39 double plays and converted 70.6% of the balls hit into play into outs in their 4,506 innings, placing them 11th in the league.
Janson Junk has pitched 210 innings, recording 154 strikeouts with an ERA of 4.84 (113 earned runs). His WHIP is 1.305, allowing 237 hits (10.2 hits per nine innings) and 37 walks. With a career record of 10-12, he has faced 891 batters throughout his MLB tenure.
The New York Mets currently hold an OBP of .292 and a batting average of .226 this season. They have struck out 449 times (22nd in MLB) and collected 423 hits. With 50 home runs, they have scored 204 runs batted in. Their slugging percentage is at .350, and they average 3.82 runs per game (28th in the league). They’ve hit 70 doubles and drawn 162 walks.
The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.310 with a FIP of 3.65. They rank 14th in the league for total hits allowed, surrendering 447 hits. The New York pitching staff has allowed 243 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.91 (218 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is at 9.40 (522 strikeouts to 211 walks), and they’ve given up 48 home runs, averaging 4.36 runs per nine innings (13th in the league).
The Mets’ relief staff has inherited 34.1% of 82 base runners. They’ve entered high-leverage situations 74 times and come in with runners on base 63 times this season. Out of 36 save situations, they’ve recorded 21 holds with 6 blown saves. They currently hold a 60.0% save percentage, ranking 19th in MLB, and have utilized 166 relief pitchers throughout the year.
Nolan McLean, in his career, has given up 82 hits while striking out 132 batters in 109 innings pitched. With a career record of 7-5, he has a 3.38 ERA while yielding 6.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 41 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.072, and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.77, having faced 441 hitters in his professional career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+102)
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