- Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna
- UFC Vegas 118
- Location: APEX, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
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Bryce Mitchell is set to compete against Santiago Luna at UFC Vegas 118 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. The initial betting odds have Mitchell at -122, while Luna is listed at +102.
Bryce “Thug Nasty” Mitchell arrives in the Octagon with an impressive record of 18 wins and 4 losses. At 31 years old, he weighs 135 lbs and stands 5’10” tall, with a reach of 70 inches. On the other hand, Santiago “BorderBoy” Luna, 21, stands at 5’9″, also weighs in at 135 lbs, and comes into this match with an unbeaten record of 8-0-0, enjoying a longer arm span of 74 inches. When it comes to significant strikes, Mitchell averages 2.27 per minute compared to Luna’s impressive 8.20 strikes per minute. In terms of striking accuracy, Mitchell finds success with 59% of his attempts, while Luna boasts a 54% accuracy. On the defensive end, “Thug Nasty” absorbs 1.60 significant strikes per minute, whereas “BorderBoy” takes in 3.82. Defensively, Mitchell blocks 58% of incoming strikes, and Luna successfully defends against 71% of opponent attempts.
| UFC Vegas 118 | Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -122 | +102 |
| Record | 18-4-0 | 8-0-0 |
| Average Fight Duration | 11:35 | 8:54 |
| Height | 5’10” | 5’9″ |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 70″ | 74″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.27 | 8.20 |
| Striking Accuracy | 59% | 54% |
In grappling, Bryce Mitchell is slightly less proficient with an average of 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes, succeeding on 36% of his attempts while defending against 33% of opponent takedown tries. Conversely, Luna excels with an 83% success rate on takedowns and defends against 50% of incoming takedowns. Notably, Mitchell pursues submission attempts at a rate of 1.2 per 3 rounds, compared to Luna’s 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes.
In his most recent Octagon appearance, Bryce Mitchell faced Said Nurmagomedov, clinching a victory via unanimous decision in the third round. During that bout, Nurmagomedov landed 100 of 126 total strikes attempted, while Mitchell successfully connected with 39 of 51 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nurmagomedov struck 20 of 32 for a 62% accuracy rate and landed 13 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other hand, Mitchell achieved a significant strike rate of 65%, landing 13 of 20 target strikes, including 3 of 6 to the head. Overall, Nurmagomedov landed 65% of his significant strikes at distance, while Mitchell achieved 38% from the same range.
In Santiago Luna’s latest matchup, he went head-to-head with Angel Pacheco, securing a unanimous decision victory in round three. Pacheco managed to connect on 92% of his significant strikes from distance, while Luna scored 77% from the same range. Luna ended the fight with 131 of 227 significant strikes landed, achieving 57% accuracy, including 97 of 176 directed at the head. In contrast, Pacheco landed 56 out of 216 significant strikes, with 41 directed at the head. Throughout the match, Pacheco attempted 238 total strikes, while Luna connected on 155 of 257 total strikes thrown.
Additional Fights to Watch
Don’t miss the exciting bout between Iwo Baraniewski and Junior Tafa. Baraniewski aims to maintain his undefeated streak of 8-0-0. At 27 years old, he weighs 205 lbs and stands 6’0″ tall with a reach of 73 inches. Junior Tafa, at 29, stands 6’3″ and also fights at 205 lbs, bringing a record of 7-5-0 to the Octagon. In terms of takedown averages, Baraniewski scores 0.90 takedowns per 15 minutes versus Tafa’s 0.50. In striking statistics, Baraniewski connects on an impressive 15.77 strikes per minute, achieving 70% accuracy, while Tafa lands 53% of his strikes at a rate of 3.62 strikes per minute.
Another thrilling matchup to look forward to features Alessandro Costa facing off against Matt Schnell. Schnell comes into this fight with a record of 17-10-0 (1 NC), weighing 125 lbs at 5’8″ with a reach of 70 inches. Costa, weighing the same, stands at 5’4″ and has a record of 15-5-0. For grappling, Schnell successfully defends 43% of takedowns while achieving a success rate of 45% on his attempts. Costa, in comparison, manages a takedown success rate of 26% while defending 86% of his opponents’ attempts. In the striking department, Schnell receives an average of 4.11 strikes per minute and lands 4.07, while Costa takes 3.72 strikes per minute and connects on 3.73.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s UFC clash against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Santiago Luna (+102)
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