Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia: Predictions and Betting Odds for UFC Freedom 250 on 06/14/2026

• Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia
• Event: UFC Freedom 250
• Location: South Lawn of the White House
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026

This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.

On June 14, 2026, Diego Lopes is set to face off against Steve Garcia in UFC Freedom 250. The initial betting odds place Lopes at -160, while Garcia starts at +140.

Diego Lopes arrives with a professional record of 27 wins and 8 losses. At 31 years old, he weighs in at 145 lbs and stands 5’11” tall, with a reach of 72 inches. In contrast, Steve “Mean Machine” Garcia, at 34 years old, fights at the same weight of 145 lbs but stands slightly taller at 6’0″ with a reach of 75 inches. Garcia’s professional record stands at 19 wins and 5 losses. Regarding their striking stats, Lopes averages 3.83 significant strikes landed per minute, while Garcia boasts an average of 5.39. Lopes has a striking accuracy of 47%, and Garcia’s accuracy stands at 49%. Defensively, Lopes absorbs 4.56 significant strikes per minute, whereas Garcia absorbs a significantly lower 2.12 strikes. Lopes successfully defends against 45% of opponent strikes, while Garcia manages to defend against 59%.

When it comes to grappling, Lopes shows superiority with an average of 0.88 takedowns per 3 rounds, successfully completing 50% of his attempts and defending against 68% of takedown attempts. Garcia, on the other hand, completes 40% of his takedown attempts while defending against an impressive 88% of opponent attempts. In submission attempts, Lopes leads with 1.4 submissions per 15 minutes compared to Garcia’s 0.4 submission attempts per 3 rounds.

In his previous match, Diego Lopes fought Alexander Volkanovski, ultimately losing by unanimous decision after five rounds. Volkanovski landed 112 out of 178 total strikes, while Lopes secured 74 of 162 attempts. In the significant strikes category, Volkanovski maintained a landing percentage of 61% with 98 out of 160 strikes, while Lopes managed to land 44% of his significant strikes, totaling 70 out of 158, with 33 strikes aimed at the head. Notably, both fighters predominantly engaged at distance, with Volkanovski landing 89% and Lopes 94% of their significant strikes from afar.

Steve Garcia’s last bout saw him victorious against David Onama, winning by a first-round punch on the ground. In that match, Garcia’s striking accuracy at distance was 78%, landing 33 of 62 significant strikes compared to Onama’s 2 out of 16. Garcia displayed exceptional accuracy, achieving 53% strike success, notably with 28 head-targeted strikes out of 56.

Exciting Fights to Watch

Don’t miss the matchup between Ilia Topuria and Justin Gaethje. Topuria enters with an undefeated record of 17-0-0, weighing 155 lbs and standing at 5’7″. Gaethje, on the other hand, holds a record of 27-5-0, stands 5’11”, and also weighs 155 lbs. Topuria averages nearly 2 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Gaethje connects with 0.33. In striking, Topuria lands 4.81 strikes per minute at a 48% accuracy rate, whereas Gaethje connects on 58% of his strikes, averaging 6.48 per minute.

Another highlight fight features Ciryl Gane facing Alex Pereira. Pereira, with a record of 13-3-0, is 6’4″ tall, weighs 205 lbs, and has a reach of 79 inches. His opponent, Gane, stands the same height at 6’4″ but weighs in at 247 lbs with a reach of 81 inches, boasting a record of 13-2-0 (1 NC). Pereira successfully defends 79% of takedown attempts and lands 5.16 strikes per minute, while Gane absorbs 2.33 strikes per minute and lands 5.29 strikes per minute.

Which fighter will come out on top in tonight’s UFC bout?

Prediction: Back Diego Lopes (-160)