- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Scheduled Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: Sportsnet New York
- Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves (-145) New York Mets (+125)
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Citi Field will be the battleground as the struggling New York Mets (29-38) face off against the formidable Atlanta Braves (45-23) this Saturday. The current betting line favors the Braves at -145, while the Mets are positioned at +125. The over/under for this match is set at 9 runs, with Bryce Elder and Sean Manaea taking the mound as starting pitchers.
The Atlanta Braves are currently averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking 4th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 350 runs with an on-base percentage of .323. This season, the Braves have hit 108 doubles and launched 92 home runs, accumulating 341 RBIs and 593 hits with a batting average of .256. Their slugging percentage stands at .428, and they have struck out 529 times compared to 211 walks.
On the mound, the Braves boast a team ERA of 3.20, ranking 1st in MLB, with their pitchers striking out a total of 594 batters. The Atlanta bullpen has allowed 69 home runs and 236 runs—this puts them 2nd in the league. They have issued 221 walks with a collective FIP of 3.84. Throughout the season, they’ve allowed 488 hits (7.2 per 9 innings) and compiled 216 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.69, and they have achieved a WHIP of 1.17.
This season, 211 relievers have hit the mound for the Braves, inheriting 61 base runners, with 26.2% scoring. The bullpen has a total of 44 holds, ranking 7th in the league. Braves pitchers have faced runners on base in 43 instances and appeared in 66 high-leverage situations, recording 21 saves out of 27 opportunities, leading to a 77.8% save percentage in 73 save situations.
Atlanta has registered 1,820 putouts, 539 assists, and 29 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .988—placing them 9th in the majors. They have also completed 47 double plays, successfully converting 72.6% of balls in play into outs over 5,460 innings, positioning them 2nd in the league.
Star pitcher Elder, with a 29-27 career record, has faced 2,206 batters and carries a FIP of 4.21. He has allowed 499 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 179 walks to his name, with a career ERA of 4.27 (246 earned runs) and a WHIP standing at 1.308. Elder’s career stats also include 518 innings pitched and 423 strikeouts.
Conversely, the New York Mets have managed 68 home runs and 254 RBIs this season. They recorded 84 doubles, walked 187 times, and scored a total of 267 runs. The Mets’ offensive stats reveal a team OBP of .291 and a batting average of .227. They have a slugging percentage of .363, averaging 3.99 runs per game (27th in MLB) while racking up 546 strikeouts (21st in the league) and 508 hits.
As a pitching staff, the Mets have a WHIP of 1.285 and a FIP of 3.78, ranking 8th in total hits allowed (526). They have conceded 286 runs with a team ERA of 3.88 (259 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 9.10, tallying 608 strikeouts against 245 walks. The Mets have also surrendered 61 home runs, averaging 4.29 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).
New York’s relief pitchers carry a 31.1% inherited scoring rate with 90 inherited runners. The bullpen has entered 83 high-leverage scenarios and faced base runners on 72 occasions. In 45 save situations, the Mets’ relievers have achieved 26 holds and recorded 9 blown saves, ranking 26th with a save rate of 52.6%. This season, they have called upon 202 relief pitchers.
Defensively, the Mets possess a 70.0% efficiency across 5,406 innings (15th in MLB). They have executed 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in professional baseball), accumulating 549 assists, 35 errors, and 1,802 putouts this season.
In his career, Manaea has surrendered 1,195 hits while amassing 1,229 strikeouts over 1,288 innings. With an 80-67 record, he has an earned run average of 4.12 and has given up 8.4 hits per nine innings. Manaea has allowed 589 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.210 and a FIP of 4.1, boasting a 3.38 strikeout-to-walk ratio against 5,388 hitters faced.
Who is poised to win tonight’s clash—will it be against the spread or straight on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Atlanta (-145)
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