Matchup: New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox
Scheduled Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcasting: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: New York (-210) vs Chicago (+172)
The New York Yankees (72-60) are set to face the Chicago White Sox (48-84) at Rate Field this Thursday. The current betting odds favor the Yankees at -210, whereas the White Sox sit at +172. The over/under total for this matchup has been established at 8.5 runs, with Will Warren and Davis Martin starting as the pitchers.
The Yankees are averaging 5.2 runs per game, ranking them 2nd in the league. They have scored a total of 681 runs and hold a .330 on-base percentage (OBP). The team has hit 211 doubles and launched 219 home runs, accumulating 656 runs batted in and 1,118 hits with a batting average of .250. The team boasts a slugging percentage of .453, with 1,153 strikeouts and 511 walks recorded this season.
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The Yankees have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.53, with their pitching staff recording a cumulative WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 145 home runs and 571 runs total, ranking 16th in the league. With 1,017 hits allowed (7.8 per 9 innings) and 521 earned runs, their team earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.00, placing them 17th in MLB; they’ve struck out 1,181 batters. The pitching staff has issued 467 walks, culminating in a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 4.03 this season.
Yankees relievers have achieved a save percentage of 64.2% across 134 save opportunities. They have inherited 220 runners, with 26.4% of them scoring. The bullpen has faced 440 situations this year and has made 133 appearances under pressure. They have earned 80 holds (10th in MLB) with 34 saves out of 53 attempts.
This season, the Yankees have recorded 3,515 putouts, 1,135 assists, and 75 errors, with a fielding percentage of .984, ranking them 23rd in MLB and achieving 89 double plays. They convert 70.5% of balls in play into outs over 10,545 innings, which positions them 9th in the sport.
Will Warren has pitched 153 innings in his career, accumulating 175 strikeouts with an earned run average of 5.35 (91 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.482. He has permitted 159 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and recorded 68 walks. Warren’s career record stands at 7-9, facing 686 hitters overall with a FIP of 5.27.
The Chicago White Sox are experiencing difficulties with a team slugging percentage of .374 and an average of 3.96 runs per game, placing them 26th in the league. They’ve achieved 200 doubles, drawn 416 walks, and accumulated 523 runs. With 132 home runs and 504 RBIs, they’ve struck out 1,091 times (17th in baseball) and amassed 1,023 total hits. Their team OBP currently stands at .303, with a batting average of .234 this season.
The White Sox pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.358 and a FIP of 4.43. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90, with 1,006 strikeouts against 479 walks. They rank 16th in the league for most hits allowed with 1,084 and have given up 144 homers, yielding an average of 4.61 runs per nine innings (21st in MLB). This season, they have allowed 589 runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.14.
In terms of relief pitching, Chicago has been in 37 save scenarios, securing 17 saves, which ranks them last in MLB with a 45.9% success rate. They’ve used 417 bullpen pitchers this year and had 114 high-leverage appearances. Their inherited runners’ scoring percentage is 31.6%, out of 187. Additionally, they have recorded 54 holds alongside 20 blown saves from 91 save situations.
Defensively, the Chicago White Sox have made 106 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982, ranking 27th in the league. They have tallied 1,073 assists, 82 errors, and 3,454 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.8%, placing them 17th in baseball over 10,362 innings.
Davis Martin has allowed 220 hits while recording 175 strikeouts across 225 innings pitched. His ERA is 4.28 after giving up 107 earned runs and earning a WHIP of 1.319, with a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.27 and he has faced 957 hitters during his MLB career, with a win-loss record of 8-20.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on Chicago (+172)
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