- Matchup: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday, June 18, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcasting: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: New York Mets (+162) Philadelphia Phillies (-196)
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The Philadelphia Phillies (39-33) are set to face off against the New York Mets (32-40) at Citizens Bank Park this Thursday. The moneyline for the matchup sees the Mets at +162 and the Phillies at -196, with an over/under total set at 8.5 runs. Starting on the mound for this game will be Sean Manaea for the Mets, while the Phillies will feature ace Aaron Nola.
As of the current season, the New York Mets are hitting at a .369 slugging percentage with 592 strikeouts, complemented by 205 walks. They have recorded 274 RBIs and amassed 551 hits, showcasing a batting average of .229. So far, the Mets have achieved 92 doubles and hit 76 home runs. As a team, they have scored 288 runs with an on-base percentage of .295, ranking 27th in the league with an average of 4.0 runs per game.
The Mets hold a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and have a combined WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have conceded 70 home runs and 311 total runs, ranking 14th in the league. They have allowed 562 hits, averaging 7.9 per 9 innings, with 284 earned runs this season. The Mets boast a team ERA of 3.96, placing them 11th in baseball, and have struck out a total of 650 batters. With 259 walks issued, their FIP stands at 3.85 for the year.
New York’s bullpen has recorded a 57.1% save percentage, having been called into action for 48 save opportunities. They have secured 12 saves but have also blown 9 of 21 save chances. The relievers have inherited 99 runners this season, with 32.3% of those scoring. Mets relievers have entered games with players on base 76 times and have made 88 appearances in high-leverage situations. A total of 218 relief pitchers have taken to the mound for the Mets this year, with the bullpen earning 27 holds, ranking 28th in the league.
Defensively, the New York Mets have tallied 1,934 putouts alongside 590 assists and committed 37 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .986, positioning them 20th among Major League teams, while they have turned 39 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs across 5,802 innings, ranking 12th in the majors.
Sean Manaea has logged 1,294 innings with 1,235 career strikeouts. He carries an ERA of 4.11, having allowed 591 earned runs, and has a WHIP of 1.208. Manaea has yielded 1,199 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and issued 364 walks, holding an 80-68 career win-loss record and a FIP of 4.05 for his time facing 5,410 hitters in the majors.
The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an OBP of .297 alongside a .229 batting average this season. They rank 10th in baseball with 618 strikeouts and have accumulated 550 hits. The Phillies have hit 90 home runs and driven in 285 runs, maintaining a team slugging percentage of .387, resulting in an average of 4.06 runs per game, placing them 24th in MLB. They also boast 93 doubles while drawing 215 walks and scoring 292 runs this season.
On the mound, the Philadelphia pitching staff has allowed 308 runs this season, with a collective ERA of 4.05 (288 earned runs). They have given up 75 home runs and concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings, ranking 10th in MLB. The Phillies’ current WHIP is 1.298, with a team FIP of 3.58. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is a strong 9.50, with a total of 673 strikeouts against 199 walks issued, while they sit 26th in total hits allowed with 632.
The Phillies have faced 61 save situations, recording 30 holds and 7 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have been called into action 30 times in save opportunities, securing 23 saves. With an inherited score percentage of 32.0%, their relief corps has appeared in 64 high-leverage situations and 59 with runners on base. They rank 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 76.7%, using 237 relief pitchers throughout the season.
Defensively, the Phillies have logged 5,763 innings with a efficiency rating of 67.1% (29th overall in professional baseball). They have completed 43 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball), recording 616 assists, 34 errors, and a total of 1,921 putouts this season.
Throughout his career, Nola has allowed 1,602 hits and accumulated 1,947 strikeouts in 1,785 innings. With a career record of 112-93, he possesses a 3.91 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 776 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.162, holding a FIP of 3.9 along with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.12 after facing 7,348 batters over his career.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take New York Mets (+162)
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