- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (-132) St. Louis (+110)
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The St. Louis Cardinals (42-36) are set to face the Miami Marlins (42-39) at Busch Stadium this Saturday. Betting odds for this game place Miami at -132 and St. Louis at +110, with a total set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Ryan Gusto and Dustin May.
This season, Miami boasts a slugging percentage of .390 and has struck out 671 times, while earning 270 walks. They have tallied 335 RBIs and 655 hits so far, giving them an average batting performance of .246. The Marlins collectively have hit 133 doubles and launched 73 home runs, with a total of 349 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the Miami Marlins average 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the league.
The Marlins own a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and their pitching staff has achieved a WHIP of 1.25. They have allowed 79 home runs and a total of 346 runs (ranked 12th in the league). Miami’s pitchers have conceded 612 hits (about 7.7 hits per 9 innings) and 320 earned runs, leading to an earned run average (ERA) of 4.04 this season (12th overall), with 691 strikeouts recorded. Their pitching unit has issued 280 walks, and their FIP is at 3.97 for the year.
Miami’s bullpen has faced runners on base 68 times and has made 80 high-pressure appearances. Their relievers have secured 45 holds this season (15th in MLB) and have a save conversion rate of 68.8%, having entered 78 save situations successfully converting 22 while failing to convert 10 of their 32 chances. The bullpen has inherited 101 runners, with 20.8% of them scoring. A total of 262 relievers have been utilized this season.
Throughout the season, the Miami Marlins have registered 2,136 putouts, 648 assists, and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .982 (27th in MLB), and they have executed 56 double plays. The Marlins have managed to convert 70.6% of balls in play into outs across 6,408 innings, placing them 10th in professional baseball.
Gusto (with a career record of 7-9) carries a FIP of 5.65, having faced 537 batters in the majors. He has permitted 136 hits (10.3 hits per 9 innings) along with 43 walks. His earned run average is 5.74 (allowing 76 earned runs), and his WHIP stands at 1.502. Gusto has pitched for 119 innings, accumulating 113 strikeouts throughout his career.
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit 88 home runs this season, contributing to a total of 347 RBIs. They’ve also recorded 113 doubles and have drawn 264 walks, with 359 runs scored. The Cardinals have established an on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .249 this season. Their slugging percentage is .399, leading to an average of 4.60 runs per game, ranking them 12th in the league. They have struck out 607 times (27th in MLB) and achieved 654 hits.
The pitching staff for St. Louis has allowed 360 runs this year with a team ERA of 4.30 (333 earned runs). They’ve given up 89 home runs and yield about 4.65 runs per 9 innings (16th in league rankings). The team holds a WHIP of 1.348 and a FIP of 4.35 for the season, with a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (587 strikeouts against 259 walks). They are currently ranked 23rd in total hits allowed with 681.
The St. Louis bullpen has an inherited scoring percentage of 34.4% out of 122 inherited runners. Their relievers have appeared 91 times in high-leverage situations and 84 times with runners on base. In 94 save opportunities, the Cardinals have achieved 55 holds and faced 13 blown saves. Their current save conversion rate stands at 64.9%, ranking them 15th in the league, with 264 relievers utilized this year.
The St. Louis Cardinals have executed 71 double plays and boast a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in the majors). They’ve accumulated 743 assists, recorded 37 errors, and registered 2,093 putouts this season. Across 6,279 innings played, they have a defensive efficiency rating of 69.6% (18th in majors).
May (with a career record of 24-26) maintains a 3.96 ERA, allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.77, having faced 1,698 batters during his career. He has yielded a total of 179 earned runs while recording a WHIP of 1.201 and a FIP of 3.90. Throughout his MLB tenure, May has permitted 354 hits and notched 374 strikeouts over 407 innings pitched.
Who will claim victory in this MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take St. Louis (+110)
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