- Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+126) Philadelphia (-152)
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On June 29, 2026, the Pittsburgh Pirates (41-42) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (46-37) at Citizens Bank Park. The betting line shows the Pirates at +126, while the Phillies stand at -152. The total runs expected is 8, with Braxton Ashcraft and Aaron Nola as the anticipated starting pitchers.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are currently averaging 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 4th across Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 420 runs and carry an on-base percentage (OBP) of .335. The team has hit 130 doubles and launched 101 home runs, totaling 402 RBIs along with 741 hits this season, boasting a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage sits at .414; however, they have recorded 772 strikeouts and drawn 305 walks.
This season, the Pirates hold a team earned run average (ERA) of 4.15, placing them 15th in the league, with pitchers striking out 762 batters. The pitching staff has allowed 80 home runs, surrendering 397 runs (22nd in MLB). They have issued 301 walks, with a FIP of 3.88. Pittsburgh has given up 664 hits, averaging 8.0 hits per nine innings, and has allowed 343 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.53, with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Pirates have called upon 265 relief pitchers this season. The bullpen has inherited 110 runners, with 30.9% of these scoring. With 38 holds, they rank 22nd in MLB. Pirates relievers have entered the game with runners on base 79 times, including 78 high-leverage appearances, securing 17 saves out of 34 opportunities, thus holding a 50.0% save percentage in 73 save situations.
Thus far, the Pirates have recorded 2,231 putouts, 659 assists, and 54 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, placing them 28th in MLB. They have successfully converted 69.1% of balls put into play into outs over 6,693 innings, ranking them 23rd in the league.
Pitcher Ashcraft has thrown for 165 innings in his career, achieving 178 strikeouts. With a 11-7 record, he holds a FIP of 2.89 against 684 batters. His career ERA stands at 2.94 (54 earned runs), with a WHIP of 1.161 and 146 hits allowed (7.9 hits per nine innings) alongside 46 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies have registered 108 home runs this season with 352 RBIs. They have hit 111 doubles, received 242 walks, and scored 363 runs. Philadelphia holds an OBP of .301 and a team batting average of .235, along with a slugging percentage of .399, averaging 4.37 runs per game, placing them 17th in the majors. They have struck out 719 times (7th in MLB), collecting 656 hits.
On the pitching side, the Phillies have allowed 362 runs this season, contributing to a team ERA of 4.08 (334 earned runs). They have given up 94 home runs and allow an average of 4.42 runs per nine innings (13th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.292 and their FIP is 3.68 this season. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.60, they have tallied 788 strikeouts against 227 walks, ranking 24th in total hits allowed with 725.
The Philadelphia bullpen features a 32.5% inherited runner scoring rate from 83 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have made 73 high-leverage appearances and 64 with base runners. With 68 save situations, the Phillies have achieved 33 holds and recorded 9 blown saves, ranking 5th in MLB with a 73.5% save rate. This season, they have used 276 bullpen pitchers.
The Phillies have executed 45 double plays while holding a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLB). They achieved 697 assists, committed 41 errors, and amassed 2,212 putouts throughout the season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 67.3% over 6,636 innings, positioning them 29th among major league teams.
In his professional career, Nola has allowed 1,612 hits while notching 1,958 strikeouts in 1,795 innings pitched. With a career record of 112-93, he carries an ERA of 3.91 and has given up 8.1 hits per nine innings. Totaling 780 earned runs, he has a WHIP of 1.163 and FIP of 3.9, alongside a 4.11 strikeout-to-walk ratio against 7,393 opposing hitters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game, either against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Select Philadelphia (-152)
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