- Matchup: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: New York (+162) Toronto (-196)
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The New York Mets (35-48) are set to face the Toronto Blue Jays (39-44) at Rogers Centre this Monday. The betting line features the Mets at +162 while the Blue Jays are favored at -196. The over/under for this game is set at 9 runs, with Nolan McLean and Trey Yesavage expected to take the mound.
This season, the Mets have recorded 100 doubles and hit 92 home runs. With a slugging percentage of .375, the team has struck out 689 times while drawing 247 walks. The Mets are averaging 4.0 runs per game, ranking 26th in the league. They’ve accumulated 321 RBIs on 641 hits, yielding a batting average of .231 and an on-base percentage of .298.
The Mets currently hold a team ERA of 4.11, placing them 14th in MLB. The pitching staff has achieved 760 strikeouts and allowed 84 home runs, contributing to a total of 379 runs scored against (ranked 19th in MLB). With a FIP of 3.88, the team has a K/BB ratio of 2.58, and pitchers have allowed 654 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 339 earned runs. Their collective WHIP is 1.28.
This season, the Mets have utilized 254 relief pitchers. Those relievers have inherited 110 base runners, with 32.7% scoring. The bullpen has recorded 30 holds (28th in the league) and has faced runners in scoring position 84 times, with a total of 93 high-leverage appearances. The Mets’ bullpen has tallied 13 saves but has missed 9 of 22 save opportunities, giving them a save percentage of 59.1%, as they have entered 52 games in save situations.
Through 6,675 innings on the field, the Mets have converted 69.7% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 17th in MLB. They have achieved 2,225 putouts, 671 assists, and 54 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .982, which ranks 27th in professional baseball with 49 double plays.
Nolan McLean, with a career record of 9-6, boasts a FIP of 3.30 after facing 560 batters. He has given up 100 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and issued 50 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.35 (51 earned runs allowed), supported by a WHIP of 1.094. Over 137 innings pitched, McLean has accumulated 163 strikeouts.
The Blue Jays, meanwhile, have a team slugging percentage of .392, averaging 4.11 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They’ve notched 137 doubles, drawn 230 walks, and crossed the plate 341 times this season, with 85 home runs and 328 RBIs. They have struck out 616 times (28th in MLB) and recorded 696 hits, leading to an on-base percentage of .311 and a batting average of .249.
Toronto’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.324 and a FIP of 4.05, ranking 18th in MLB for hits allowed with 678. The team has conceded 373 runs, yielding an ERA of 4.18 (342 earned runs). Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.90 (732 strikeouts against 298 walks). They have allowed 92 home runs and give up 4.55 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).
The Blue Jays’ bullpen has inherited a score of 25.4% from 138 inherited base runners. Their relievers have made 102 appearances in high leverage situations and have faced runners on 95 occasions. In 96 save situations, the Blue Jays have secured 56 holds and experienced 12 blown saves, resulting in a save percentage of 67.6% with 317 relievers deployed this year.
With 61 double plays, the Blue Jays maintain a fielding percentage of .983, ranking 23rd in MLB. They have 710 assists, 51 errors, and 2,213 putouts across 6,639 innings, leading to a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (21st in MLB).
In his professional career, Yesavage has allowed 54 hits while accumulating 74 strikeouts in 74 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 29 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.226 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.00, having faced 311 batters with a career record of 4-3 and a 3.52 ERA while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Place your bets on Toronto (-196) and the under for a total of 9 runs
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