- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Event Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Pittsburgh (+132) Philadelphia (-160)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-42) are set to clash with the Philadelphia Phillies (47-38) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The Pirates enter the matchup as underdogs at +132, while the Phillies are positioned at -160. The total runs over/under is set at 9. Starting pitchers for the game include Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh and Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia.
The Pirates boast a slugging percentage of .420, having struck out 796 times while also drawing 318 walks. This season, they have recorded 421 runs batted in and amassed 763 hits, achieving a team batting average of .259. Pittsburgh has achieved 135 doubles and has hit 108 home runs. With a total of 440 runs scored, their on-base percentage stands at .337, placing them at 3rd overall in the MLB with a scoring average of 5.2 runs per game.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 2.54 with a WHIP of 1.30. The Pirates have allowed 84 home runs and given up 408 runs overall (22nd in the league). They have conceded 681 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per game) and 353 earned runs, with a team ERA of 4.17 this season (16th in MLB), while racking up 781 strikeouts. The pitching unit has issued 308 walks with a collective FIP of 3.90.
The Pirates’ bullpen has entered games with runners on base 80 times, appearing in high-pressure situations 80 times. They’ve secured 42 holds during the season (18th in MLB) and boast a save rate of 50.0%, converting 17 of the 34 save opportunities. Their relief pitchers have inherited 111 base runners with 31.5% of them scoring. Overall, the Pirates have utilized 271 relief pitchers this season.
This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have recorded 2,285 putouts, 681 assists, and 55 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the league) and achieving 64 double plays. They have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 6,855 defensive innings, ranking 24th in MLB.
Paul Skenes has a career win-loss record of 27-20, along with a FIP of 2.19 and has faced 1,620 batters in the majors. He has allowed 300 hits (6.5 hits per nine innings) and recorded 94 walks. With an earned run average of 2.22 (102 earned runs given up), his career WHIP stands at 0.954. Over 413 innings pitched, Skenes has accumulated 500 strikeouts in his MLB journey.
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this contest with a team on-base percentage of .302 and a batting average of .236 this season. They have been struck out 741 times (8th in MLB) delivering 675 hits overall. Philadelphia has launched 113 home runs and achieved 364 RBIs. Their team slugging percentage is .402, averaging 4.41 runs per game, which ranks them 17th in MLB, alongside 113 doubles and 246 walks.
The Phillies’ pitching staff has surrendered 377 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 4.15 (with 348 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 98 home runs and give up 4.49 runs per nine innings (15th in MLB). Their WHIP stands at 1.304, and their team FIP measures 3.73 for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.70 (811 strikeouts to 240 walks), currently ranking 24th in MLB in total hits allowed at 745.
This season, the Philadelphia bullpen has recorded 72 save chances, achieving 35 holds with 10 blown saves. The relievers have been called into action in 36 save opportunities and have converted 26 saves. The bullpen’s inherited scoring rate stands at 35.2% across 88 inherited runners, with 78 occasions in high-pressure situations and 66 times with runners on base. They rank 8th in MLB with a save rate of 72.2%, having used 284 relief pitchers this season.
In a total of 6,798 innings played, the Phillies have an efficiency rating of 67.1% (29th in MLB). They have executed 45 double plays and posted a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in MLB). So far this year, they have recorded 715 assists, 44 errors, and 2,266 putouts.
Zack Wheeler, boasting a career record of 121-76, holds a 3.23 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. His career strikeout to walk ratio is 3.72 after facing 7,370 batters. Wheeler has allowed a total of 647 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.126 and a FIP of 3.2. Across 1,803 innings in his professional career, he has given up 1,521 hits and tallied 1,894 strikeouts.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (+132)
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