- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (+132) Philadelphia Phillies (-160)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates (43-43) will travel to Citizens Bank Park this Thursday to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (48-38). The current moneyline shows the Pirates at +132 while the Phillies are positioned at -160. The total runs for the game is set at 8, featuring Jared Jones and Alan Rangel as the starting pitchers.
The Pirates have recorded 136 doubles and hit 108 home runs as a unit this season. With a slugging percentage of .418, they have struck out 809 times and drawn 321 walks. The team averages 5.1 runs per game, placing them 4th in MLB, with a total of 421 RBIs from 768 hits, and maintains a batting average of .258. They have scored 440 runs and possess an OBP of .336.
The Pirates’ pitching staff has an earned run average of 4.22 (17th in MLB), striking out 789 batters throughout the season. They have surrendered 85 home runs and 416 runs overall (22nd in the league). With 311 walks, the team’s FIP stands at 3.91. The Pirates have allowed 693 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) along with 361 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.31.
Pirates relievers have come into the game with runners on base 82 times and have made 80 appearances in high-leverage situations. This bullpen has managed 42 holds this season (18th in the league) and has a 50.0% save percentage from 77 save opportunities. They have registered 17 saves but failed in 17 of their 34 attempts, inheriting 115 runners with a 32.2% scoring rate. A total of 274 relievers have taken the mound this season.
This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates have tallied 2,309 putouts, 689 assists, and 55 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB) and resulting in 64 double plays. They convert 69.0% of balls in play into outs across 6,927 innings, ranking 24th in baseball.
Jones has pitched for 146 innings, achieving 157 strikeouts throughout his professional career. With a career record of 7-9, he has a FIP of 4.37 while facing 614 batters in the majors. His earned run average stands at 4.43 (72 ER) and he holds a WHIP of 1.238. Jones has recorded 133 hits against him (8.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 48 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies boast an on-base percentage of .303 alongside a batting average of .237 for the season. They have struck out 749 times (10th in MLB), accumulating 687 hits. The Phillies have also hit 114 home runs this season, accompanied by 372 RBIs. They hold a slugging percentage of .403 and average 4.45 runs per game (18th in MLB), with 115 doubles and 249 walks, scoring 383 runs in total.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.300 and a FIP of 3.70. They have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.70 (824 strikeouts to 243 walks). Currently, they rank 24th in the league for total hits allowed, with 750, and have relinquished 98 homers, giving up 4.44 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Phillies have allowed 377 runs this year, with a 4.10 ERA (348 earned runs allowed).
The Phillies have been involved in 72 save situations, achieving 35 holds but also incurring 10 blown saves. Their bullpen has faced 36 save opportunities, successfully converting 26 into saves. The relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% from their 88 inherited runners. They have appeared on the mound 78 times in high-leverage situations and have pitched 66 times with base runners, ranking 8th in the league with a 72.2% save percentage this season, deploying 286 bullpen pitchers.
Over 6,879 innings played, the Phillies exhibit a defensive efficiency of 67.2% (29th in MLB). The Philadelphia squad has executed 45 double plays with a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). They have accumulated 721 assists, 44 errors, and a total of 2,293 putouts this season.
In his career so far, Rangel has allowed 22 hits and struck out 21 batters in 23 innings. He holds an 0-1 record with a 3.52 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. Rangel has permitted 9 earned runs, achieving a WHIP of 1.304 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.63, facing 97 batters in his MLB journey.
Who will take victory in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Recommendation: Bet on Pittsburgh (+132)
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