Game: San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins
Date: Sunday, August 31, 2025
Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-275) vs Minnesota (+220)
This Sunday, the Minnesota Twins (60-73) will face off against the San Diego Padres (75-59) in what promises to be an exciting game at Target Field. The moneyline for this matchup sees San Diego at -275 and Minnesota at +220, with the total runs set at 9. Starting pitchers for this game include Randy Vasquez and Joe Ryan.
The Padres have recorded 219 doubles and smashed 116 home runs this season. With a slugging percentage of .385, the Padres have struck out 938 times while earning 430 walks. Collectively, they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking 23rd in Major League Baseball. To date, they have amassed 529 RBIs and 1,123 hits, with a batting average of .251. Their total runs are 564, coupled with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .321.
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The Padres’ pitching staff has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.19. They have conceded 139 home runs and allowed a total of 510 runs (2nd in MLB). San Diego’s pitchers have recorded 977 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 473 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.60 (2nd in MLB). Their pitchers have struck out a remarkable 1,150 batters while walking 437 adversaries, with a collective FIP of 3.95 for the year.
Padres relievers have taken the mound with runners on base 154 times, appearing in 182 high-leverage situations. Collectively, they’ve secured 90 holds this season (4th in MLB). San Diego’s bullpen boasts a save percentage of 74.1%, with 43 successful saves out of 58 attempts. This season, they’ve inherited 218 runners, with 28.0% of those scoring. A total of 470 relievers have taken the field this year.
Defensively, the San Diego Padres have registered 3,552 putouts, 1,010 assists, and 61 errors, yielding a fielding percentage of .987—placing them 12th in MLB. They have successfully turned 100 double plays and converted 72.1% of balls in play into outs over 10,656 innings, ranking them 2nd in the league.
Randy Vasquez has pitched 246 innings in his career, securing 154 strikeouts, with an ERA of 4.17 (allowing 114 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.421. This season, he has permitted 254 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 96 walks. Vasquez holds a career record of 9-15 and a FIP of 4.10, facing 1,078 batters in the majors.
On the other hand, the Minnesota Twins have a slugging percentage of .398 and average 4.18 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have compiled 204 doubles and received 403 free passes, leading to a total of 556 runs. This season, the Twins have hit 159 home runs and achieved 530 RBIs while striking out 1,105 times (16th in MLB) and recording 1,058 hits. Their OBP stands at .310, with a batting average of .238.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 4.07. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.60 (1,113 strikeouts vs. 368 walks). While they rank 24th in MLB for total hits allowed (1,161), they have given up 159 home runs and conceded 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Twins’ staff has permitted 618 runs this season, resulting in an ERA of 4.44 (with 577 earned runs allowed).
This season, Minnesota has recorded 127 save opportunities, achieved 81 holds, and experienced 19 blown saves. Their relief pitchers have come in for 44 save chances, successfully closing 25 of them. Throughout the year, Twins relievers have seen action in 155 high-leverage situations, entering 100 times with runners on base. Their inherited runners’ scoring rate is 35.7%, with a total of 454 relievers used during the season.
The Minnesota Twins have turned 80 double plays, boasting a fielding rate of .987 (14th in MLB). They have tallied 991 assists, committed 61 errors, and made 3,510 putouts this season. The Twins have a defensive efficiency of 68.6% over 10,530 innings, ranking them 27th in professional baseball.
Joe Ryan (career record of 45-33) sports a 3.76 ERA while allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings. With a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 5.01, he has faced 2,500 batters during his career. Ryan has surrendered 258 earned runs and holds a WHIP of 1.050 and a FIP of 3.70. He has permitted 511 hits while accumulating 691 strikeouts over 618 innings pitched.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Back Minnesota (+220)
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