- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: DBACKS.TV
- Betting Odds: Milwaukee (-182), Arizona (+150)
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The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-43) are set to clash with the Milwaukee Brewers (53-32) at Chase Field this Saturday. The betting line shows the Brewers favored at -182, while the Diamondbacks are underdogs at +150. The over/under for this matchup is established at 8 runs, with Brandon Woodruff and Merrill Kelly anticipated as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Milwaukee Brewers have been impressive, averaging 5.1 runs per game, ranking them 5th in MLB. They have accumulated 436 runs so far, boasting an on-base percentage of .338. Collectively, the Brewers have hit 147 doubles and launched 79 home runs, alongside 411 RBIs and 730 hits, with a batting average of .254. Their slugging percentage stands at .396, while they have struck out 697 times and drawn 356 walks.
This year, the Brewers have established a remarkable team ERA of 3.36, ranking 1st in the league, while their pitchers have struck out 843 batters. The squad has conceded 83 home runs and 312 runs (2nd in MLB). With 284 walks and a FIP of 3.55, they have allowed 617 hits (an average of 7.3 per 9 innings) along with 285 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.97, and their WHIP is 1.18.
Throughout the season, the Brewers have utilized 260 relievers. The bullpen has inherited 100 base runners this season, with 37.0% of them scoring. They have recorded 40 holds (20th in the league) and have entered high leverage situations 86 times, achieving 27 saves out of 41 attempts, which translates to a save percentage of 65.9% in 82 save situations.
The Brewers have recorded 2,288 putouts, 651 assists, and 34 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .989, making them 6th in professional baseball, with 66 double plays. They convert 70.9% of balls put in play into outs, placing them 7th in the majors.
Brandon Woodruff has pitched 786 innings in his career, registering 912 strikeouts. With a career record of 55-29, he has a FIP of 3.03 and an earned run average of 3.08 (allowing 269 runs). Woodruff’s WHIP is 1.024, having allowed 606 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 199 walks.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have recorded 78 home runs and driven in 353 runs this season. They have tallied 148 doubles, received 271 walks, and scored 367 runs, showcasing a team on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .238. With a slugging percentage of .386, they average 4.27 runs per game (19th in baseball) and have 678 hits, striking out 620 times (29th in MLB).
Arizona’s pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.289 and a FIP of 4.53, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 6.90 (580 strikeouts vs. 252 walks). They rank 21st in total hits allowed, giving up 723 hits and 106 home runs, while allowing 4.68 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB) and holding an ERA of 4.32 (363 earned runs).
With a save rate of 68.8%, their bullpen has called upon 277 relievers this season. They have appeared in 87 high leverage situations and 76 with runners on base. From 79 save opportunities, they have logged 46 holds and 10 blown saves. Arizona has converted 22 out of 32 save chances, with a percentage of 28.2% inheriting scoring for 110 inherited runners.
The Diamondbacks have turned 71 double plays and hold a solid .990 fielding percentage, ranking 3rd in professional baseball. They have achieved 743 assists, committed 30 errors, and accumulated 2,270 putouts in 6,810 innings, with a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (5th in the league).
Over his career, Merrill Kelly has allowed 999 hits and gained 958 strikeouts in 1,089 innings pitched. With a WHIP of 1.223 and a FIP of 3.9, he has given up a total of 475 earned runs and faced 4,505 batters (recording a career mark of 70-61). Kelly has maintained a 3.92 ERA and allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who emerges victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Milwaukee (-182)
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