- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: Reds.TV
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-160) Cincinnati (+132)
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The Cincinnati Reds (41-49) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (51-41) at Great American Ball Park this Thursday. The betting line features Philadelphia favored at -160 while Cincinnati is at +132. The total runs projected for the game stand at 9, with Jesus Luzardo and Brady Singer expected to take the mound.
As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies average 4.4 runs per game, placing them 17th in the league. They have accumulated 407 runs throughout the season, coupled with an on-base percentage of .304. Philadelphia has hit 124 doubles and made 121 home runs, alongside 393 RBIs and 737 total hits, boasting a team batting average of .238. Their slugging percentage stands at .403, with 809 strikeouts and 270 walks recorded.
The Phillies have maintained an earned run average of 4.21 this season, ranking 14th in the league, while their pitchers have tallied 895 strikeouts. Opponents have hit 106 home runs against them, contributing to 411 total runs, which ranks them 17th in MLB. With 262 walks issued, the team’s FIP sits at 3.72, having allowed 816 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 382 earned runs. The K/BB ratio stands at 3.42, while the cumulative WHIP is 1.32.
This season, the Phillies have utilized 308 relief pitchers, with 34.3% of inherited runners scoring. The bullpen has accounted for 37 holds (26th in MLB) and has faced 72 high-leverage situations, making 27 saves out of 37 opportunities with a save percentage of 73.0%. Collectively, they’ve participated in 76 save situations.
Defensively, Philadelphia has converted 66.6% of balls in play into outs over 7,347 innings, placing them 30th in the league. The team has recorded 2,449 putouts, 757 assists, and 45 errors, earning a fielding percentage of .986, currently ranked 15th in professional baseball with 48 double plays.
Jesus Luzardo has pitched 798 innings throughout his career and boasts 900 strikeouts, carrying an earned run average of 4.14 (367 earned runs). His career WHIP is 1.248, allowing 726 hits (8.2 per nine innings) with a total of 270 walks. Luzardo holds a career record of 48-45 with a FIP of 4.08, facing 3,341 batters in the majors.
The Cincinnati Reds have hit 108 home runs this season and amassed 354 RBIs, alongside 142 doubles. They’ve drawn 335 walks and scored 373 runs, with a team on-base percentage of .308 and a batting average of .227. Their collective slugging percentage stands at .386, averaging 4.14 runs per game (22nd in MLB). Cincinnati has struck out 852 times (3rd in MLB) and totalled 684 hits.
On the pitching side, the Reds have a team WHIP of 1.452 and a FIP of 4.97. They rank 20th in total hits allowed with 759. The Reds’ pitching staff has allowed 436 runs so far this season with a 4.56 ERA (406 earned runs). They have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 with a total of 724 strikeouts against 404 walks, surrendering 122 home runs while yielding 4.90 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).
Currently, Cincinnati ranks 25th in MLB for save percentage at 55.3%, having deployed 323 relievers this season. Their bullpen has appeared in 111 high-leverage situations and 104 times with runners onboard, recording 51 holds and 17 blown saves. They have completed 38 save opportunities, successfully converting 21 saves with an inherited scoring percentage of 25.0% on 144 inherited runners.
Across their 7,209 innings in the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (12th in MLB). Cincinnati has executed 65 double plays and holds a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB), with 741 assists, 49 errors, and 2,403 putouts for the season.
Brady Singer, in his professional career, has allowed 942 hits while registering 879 strikeouts in 937 innings pitched. He has surrendered 448 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.330 and FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.89, facing 4,024 batters thus far in his career. Singer has a career record of 53-64 and an ERA of 4.30, with 9.0 hits allowed per nine innings.
Who will secure victory in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Philadelphia (-160)
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