- Game: Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
- Broadcast: MASN
- Odds/Point Spread: Chicago Cubs (-144), Baltimore Orioles (+120)
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On Thursday, Oriole Park at Camden Yards will host a matchup between the Baltimore Orioles (42-50) and the Chicago Cubs (51-40). The moneyline is set at -144 for the Cubs and +120 for the Orioles, with an over/under of 8 runs. Pitching for this contest will be David Peterson and Trevor Rogers.
The Chicago Cubs boast a slugging percentage of .409 and have struck out 767 times while drawing 400 walks. They have recorded 429 RBIs and 759 hits this season, with a batting average resting at .244. The team has hit 144 doubles and 112 home runs, generating a total of 460 runs with an on-base percentage of .338. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, the Cubs rank 5th in Major League Baseball.
Chicago has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.54 and a combined WHIP of 1.27 for its pitching staff. This season, Cubs pitchers have allowed a total of 137 home runs and given up 411 runs overall (ranked 16th in the league). They’ve surrendered 744 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and compiled a team ERA of 4.32 (19th in MLB), with 717 strikeouts and 282 walks. Their FIP stands at 4.72 for the year.
The Cubs’ bullpen has achieved a save rate of 53.1%, having entered 69 save situations and successfully recording 17 saves while missing 15 of their 32 chances. With 135 inherited runners, they have seen a scoring rate of 31.9%, and have made 94 appearances with runners on base, including 86 in high-pressure situations. This season, the Cubs have utilized 293 relief pitchers and have recorded 31 holds (29th in the league).
Defensively, the Chicago Cubs have accumulated 2,428 putouts, 838 assists, and 37 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .989, which ranks 4th in professional baseball. They have turned 64 double plays and have converted 71.9% of balls in play into outs across 7,233 innings, placing them 3rd in the league.
Peterson has pitched 631 innings with a career total of 619 strikeouts. He has an ERA of 4.23 (allowing 297 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.381. Permitting 607 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and giving up 265 walks, Peterson holds a 38-31 career record and a FIP of 4.17 after facing 2,714 batters in Major League Baseball.
Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles have recorded 104 home runs this season, complemented by 405 RBIs and 140 doubles. They have drawn 353 walks and have scored 418 runs, holding a team OBP of .318 and a batting average of .237. With a slugging percentage of .393, they are averaging 4.54 runs per game, ranking 15th in the league. The Orioles also rank 4th in Major League Baseball with 844 strikeouts and have accumulated 727 hits.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.373 and a FIP of 4.21 this year. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 8.00 (728 strikeouts compared to 324 walks). They currently rank 25th in MLB for total hits allowed with 795, have surrendered 100 home runs, and yield 4.96 runs per nine innings (23rd overall). This season, the Orioles’ pitching staff has given up 449 runs, with an ERA of 4.35 (394 earned runs).
The Orioles have been in 82 save situations, successfully holding 51 but suffering from 10 blown saves. In 30 save chances, Baltimore has converted 20 saves. Their relief pitchers have a scoring rate of 26.5% from 117 inherited runners and have been called upon in 82 high-pressure situations, with a total of 299 pitchers used from the bullpen this year.
Defensively, the Orioles have achieved 65 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). They have recorded 781 assists, 54 errors, and amassed 2,447 putouts this season. Across 7,341 innings played, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (25th in the league).
Over his career, Rogers has allowed 563 hits while accumulating 586 strikeouts in 604 innings pitched. He has permitted 265 earned runs and holds a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.62 after facing 2,580 batters. Rogers has a win-loss record of 30-44 with an earned run average of 3.95, giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB contest against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take Baltimore (+120)
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