Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire Analysis, 7/9/2026 WNBA Picks, Tips, and Odds

Home » Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire Analysis, 7/9/2026 WNBA Picks, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire
  • Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
  • Venue: Moda Center, Portland, OR
  • Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
  • Betting Odds: Las Vegas favored by 8.5 points

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The Portland Fire (9-12) are set to face off against the Las Vegas Aces (15-6) at the Moda Center this Thursday. Portland enters this game as 8.5-point underdogs, with an over/under of 174.5 points.

The Aces recently faced the Indiana Fever, suffering a loss with a final score of 84-68. Las Vegas posted a field goal percentage of 40.0%, hitting 22 of 55 shots, and made 4 of 19 from three-point range. From the free-throw line, they converted 20 out of 25 attempts, achieving an 80.0% success rate. On the boards, Las Vegas secured 30 rebounds, including 6 on the offensive end, and recorded 14 assists, while forcing 7 turnovers and achieving 5 steals. Defensively, Las Vegas allowed Indiana to shoot 42.9% from the floor, as the Fever finished with 30 field goals on 70 attempts. Indiana tallied 13 assists and 5 steals, along with 39 total rebounds (13 offensive and 26 defensive) and 3 blocked shots. At the free-throw line, Indiana shot 75.0%, making 15 out of 20, and registered 9 successful three-point shots out of 23 attempts.

WNBA Picks Jackie Young Las Vegas Aces Predictions Best Bet Odds

Jackie Young was a standout performer in that game, contributing 15 points on 6 of 13 shooting. She spent 33 minutes on the court, grabbed 2 rebounds, and handed out 4 assists, finishing with a shooting percentage of 46.2%.

The Las Vegas Aces, holding a strong record of 15-6 for the current season, average 12.4 turnovers and 17.6 personal fouls per game. As a collective, they pull down 35.0 rebounds per contest and have amassed a total of 467 assists throughout the season, ranking 2nd in the WNBA in assists. The Aces hit 35.4% on three-point shots (169 of 478) and maintain a 77.1% free-throw shooting rate. They average 90.0 points per game, placing 4th in the league, and boast an impressive 48.6% shooting from the field. Defensively, they force 11.8 turnovers per game, while yielding 19.9 personal fouls. The Aces allow an opponent field goal percentage of 43.8% (248 of 418) and average 33.2 rebounds given up. They sit 4th in the league in assists allowed, with a total of 401. Their opponents are shooting 35.2% from three-point range, and they rank 9th in points allowed per game at 86.4.

In their previous outing, the Portland Fire secured a narrow victory over the Seattle Storm, finishing at 77-72. Portland recorded 37 defensive and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 47 rebounds. They committed 19 turnovers but managed to snag 9 steals in the game. The Storm committed 22 fouls, allowing the Fire 25 free throws, where they converted 23 for a remarkable 92.0% shooting rate from the line. Portland’s perimeter shooting was less effective, hitting only 4 of 25 three-point shots (16.0%). They finished the game shooting 36.8% overall, going 25 for 68. The Fire limited the Storm to 24 successful field goal attempts out of 71, giving them a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Portland also shot 27.6% from three-point territory, hitting 8 of 29 attempts, and were 16 of 18 from the free-throw line (88.9%). They allowed a total of 31 rebounds to Seattle (with 6 offensive rebounds).

Carla Leite was instrumental for Portland in that matchup, scoring 20 points on 4 of 8 shooting (50.0%), along with 3 rebounds and 4 assists in 22 minutes of play.

Portland currently holds a season record of 9-12. Offensively, they are shooting 43.6% from the field, ranking 9th in the league. The Fire have scored a total of 1,770 points this season (averaging 84.3 points per game) and recover 29.9 rebounds on average. They contribute 20.0 assists per game (9th in the WNBA) and commit 14.9 turnovers on average. Portland averages 23.0 personal fouls per game and boasts a free-throw percentage of 81.3%. Defensively, the Portland Fire rank 13th in the WNBA for points allowed per game with an average of 91.3. They concede 34.6% on three-point attempts (191 of 552) and allow their opponents to convert 77.5% of free-throw attempts. Their defense gives up 23.3 assists and 34.0 rebounds per game, placing them 15th and 10th in the league in those categories. They force 13.9 turnovers and allow teams to shoot 46.5% from the field, ranking 13th in defensive efficiency.

Who will prevail in tonight’s WNBA showdown?

Prediction: Bet on Las Vegas (-8.5)

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Pick: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)
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