- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
- Broadcast: SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-128) Pittsburgh (+106)
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On Friday, July 10, 2026, the Milwaukee Brewers (58-34) will clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-46) at PNC Park. The moneyline has Milwaukee favored at -128, while Pittsburgh opens at +106. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this duel will be Brandon Sproat for Milwaukee and Braxton Ashcraft for Pittsburgh.
The Brewers have recorded a total of 165 doubles and 84 home runs this season. They possess a slugging percentage of .397 alongside 751 strikeouts and 379 walks. Averaging 5.1 runs per game, they rank 5th in the league. With 442 RBIs and 797 hits, Milwaukee demonstrates a batting average of .255 and has scored 468 runs, holding an on-base percentage of .337.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff boasts a 3.00 K/BB ratio and a WHIP of 1.16. They have allowed 89 home runs and 335 runs this season (2nd in the league), with a total of 660 hits surrendered (averaging 7.2 hits per 9 innings). The Brewers sport a stellar team ERA of 3.32 (ranking 1st in the league) and have struck out 896 batters while issuing 299 walks. Their FIP stands at 3.55 for the season.
In490 high-pressure situations, Brewers’ relief pitchers have taken the mound with runners on base a total of 75 times. This season, they have accumulated 44 holds (18th in MLB) and a save percentage of 68.2%, successfully converting 30 out of 89 save opportunities. The bullpen has inherited 107 runners, with 36.4% scoring. In total, 280 relief pitchers have been utilized this year.
In 7,431 innings of gameplay, the Brewers have converted 71.4% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. They have made 2,477 putouts, 706 assists, and 38 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .988, placing them 6th in the majors, with a total of 68 double plays.
Sproat, with a 3-6 career win-loss record, possesses a FIP of 5.00 after facing 420 opposing batters. He has allowed 89 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) along with 44 walks. His earned run average is 5.08 (56 earned runs given up), and his WHIP is 1.341. He has pitched 99 innings and has recorded 101 strikeouts in his career.
The Pirates are shooting for a .341 on-base percentage and a .262 team batting average this season. They have struck out 875 times (2nd in the league) and collected 849 hits. Pittsburgh has smacked 117 home runs while driving in 467 runs. Their slugging percentage is .421, and they average 5.24 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have registered 146 doubles, walked 351 times, and scored 487 runs.
Pittsburgh’s pitching staff holds a 1.306 WHIP and a FIP of 3.99. They rank 15th in the league for total hits surrendered, totaling 752. This season, the Pirates’ pitchers have allowed 449 runs, with a team ERA of 4.26 (393 earned runs given up), and have a K/BB ratio of 9.20 (848 strikeouts against 332 walks). They have given up 97 home runs and permit 4.87 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB).
Pirates’ relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners and allowed 31.1% to score. They have been on the mound during high-leverage situations 84 times and have faced runners on base 86 times. With 78 save opportunities, they have tallied 43 holds and suffered 17 blown saves, ranking 28th in MLB with a save percentage of 50.0%. They have utilized a total of 295 bullpen pitchers this season.
Over the course of 7,476 innings, the Pirates’ defensive efficiency stands at 69.2% (22nd in professional baseball). They have completed 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in the league). This season, Pittsburgh has made 736 assists, 56 errors, and recorded 2,492 putouts.
Ashcraft, with a 13-7 career record, boasts a 3.05 earned run average and allows 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.94, and he has faced 731 hitters in his MLB career. With 60 earned runs allowed, he maintains a WHIP of 1.162 and a FIP of 3.0. Ashcraft has given up 157 hits and has struck out 193 batters over 177 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Pittsburgh (+106)
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