- Game: Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-128) vs. St. Louis (+106)
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The Atlanta Braves (53-38) are heading to Busch Stadium this Friday to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (48-43). The current moneyline sees Atlanta at -128 while St. Louis is positioned at +106. The total runs over/under for the game is set at 9, with Chris Sale and Kyle Leahy taking the mound as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Braves have totaled 142 doubles and have launched 117 home runs. Atlanta boasts a slugging percentage of .412 and has recorded 731 strikeouts, alongside 269 walks. Currently, the Braves are scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 7th in the league. They have accrued 429 RBIs and 768 hits, with a batting average of .248 and an on-base percentage of .313.
The Atlanta pitching staff carries an impressive earned run average (ERA) of 3.61, ranking 5th in the league, having struck out a total of 771 batters. They have conceded 101 home runs and allowed 354 runs this season, also ranking 5th in baseball. Their pitchers have issued 303 walks, with a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 4.08. The Braves have allowed 693 hits, with their strikeout-to-walk ratio resting at 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.23.
With 285 relievers used this season, Braves’ relief pitchers have inherited 87 runners, with 27.6% contributing to earned runs against. So far, they have notched 62 holds, currently ranking 3rd in baseball. This season, they have been brought in during 61 instances with runners on base and have made 92 high-leverage appearances. Atlanta’s bullpen has achieved 27 saves, with a save conversion rate of 75.0%, facing 101 save situations.
On defense, the Braves have converted 71.5% of balls in play into outs over 7,269 innings, placing them 4th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have registered 2,423 putouts, 753 assists, and committed 41 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .987, currently ranked 10th in the league, along with 70 double plays.
Chris Sale has pitched 2,179 innings, accumulating 2,691 strikeouts, with an ERA of 2.98 (721 earned runs allowed) and a career WHIP of 1.049. He has allowed 1,774 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 511 walks, maintaining a FIP of 2.93 throughout his career against 8,781 batters faced.
The St. Louis Cardinals hold an on-base percentage of .321 and a batting average of .245 this season. They have struck out 702 times (27th in MLB) and recorded 748 hits, resulting in 104 home runs and 404 RBIs. With a slugging percentage of .394, the Cardinals are scoring an average of 4.57 runs per game, placing them 13th in the league, alongside 127 doubles and 292 walks, totaling 416 runs.
St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 409 runs this season, with a team ERA of 4.17 (376 earned runs). Their pitchers have given up 91 home runs, allowing 4.53 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.340 and a FIP of 4.18, with a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (683 strikeouts compared to 306 walks). They rank 23rd in MLB for total hits surrendered, totaling 782 this season.
With a save percentage of 64.3%, the Cardinals have utilized 309 relief pitchers this year, entering high-leverage situations 104 times and with runners on base 103 times. They have faced 107 save situations, securing 62 holds while experiencing 15 blown saves. St. Louis has called upon their bullpen in 42 save chances, resulting in 27 successful saves and an inherited run scoring rate of 36.2% out of 152 inherited runners.
In 7,314 innings, the Cardinals have recorded a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in MLB). On defense, they have turned 81 double plays, holding a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB), along with 856 assists, 44 errors, and 2,438 putouts.
Throughout his professional career, Kyle Leahy has allowed 216 hits while striking out 188 batters across 224 innings. He has allowed 93 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.7. Leahy possesses a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.47 and has faced 947 hitters in his career. With a career record of 12-8, he maintains an ERA of 3.73, allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings.
Who is favored to clinch victory in tonight’s MLB face-off, whether against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back St. Louis (+106)
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