- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: Toronto (-132) San Diego (+110)
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On Saturday, the San Diego Padres (46-47) will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (44-49) at Petco Park. The betting line favors the Blue Jays at -132 while the Padres sit at +110. The total runs over/under is established at 8.5, with Trey Yesavage and Walker Buehler set to take the mound as starting pitchers.
The Blue Jays have recorded a total of 145 doubles this season and hit 93 home runs. Their slugging percentage stands at .383, with 682 strikeouts and 254 walks. As a team, they average 4.0 runs per game, ranking them 28th in MLB. This season, they’ve amassed 360 RBIs and 761 hits, while their batting average rests at .244. They have scored a total of 376 runs, with an on-base percentage of .305.
This season, the Blue Jays’ pitching staff carries an earned run average of 4.08 (12th overall), recording 825 strikeouts. They have allowed 104 home runs and 411 runs (13th in MLB), with 327 pitchers walked, resulting in a team FIP of 4.03. The team has given up 741 hits (averaging 8.1 hits per 9 innings) and accounted for 374 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.52, and their team WHIP is 1.30.
The Blue Jays’ relievers boast a save success rate of 70.0%, entering 102 save situations. To date, they have secured 28 saves, while experiencing 12 blown saves out of 40 opportunities. The bullpen has inherited 149 base runners, with 26.8% resulting in runs scored. This year, the Blue Jays’ relief pitchers have appeared in 343 games, achieving 59 holds (7th in MLB).
So far, the Toronto Blue Jays have recorded 2,474 putouts, 770 assists, and 60 errors, giving them a fielding percentage of .982—ranking them 27th in MLB. They have successfully turned 66 double plays. Out of a total of 7,422 innings, they converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs, placing them 17th in the league.
Yesavage (5-4 career record) holds a FIP of 3.26 after facing 360 batters in the majors. He has allowed 60 hits (averaging 6.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 39 walks. His earned run average is 3.31 (32 earned runs allowed) with a career WHIP of 1.137. In 87 innings pitched, he has accumulated 84 strikeouts throughout his career.
The San Diego Padres have attained a team on-base percentage of .300 and a batting average of .225 this season. They have experienced 782 strikeouts (14th in MLB) and recorded a total of 684 hits. The Padres have launched 97 home runs this year, amassing 355 RBIs overall. Their slugging percentage is .371, and they average 3.90 runs per game (30th in MLB). The team has registered 137 doubles, drawn 305 walks, and posted a total of 363 runs.
With a team WHIP of 1.336 and a FIP of 4.22, the Padres’ pitching staff ranks 19th in MLB for total hits allowed (765). They’ve surrendered 101 home runs, allowing 4.45 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Padres’ pitching staff has yielded 406 runs this season, featuring a team ERA of 4.20 (383 earned runs allowed).
In 96 save situations, the Padres have recorded 57 holds and 10 blown saves. They’ve had their bullpen enter the game in 37 save chances, converting 27 saves. The Padres’ relievers have inherited 160 base runners, with a score percentage of 31.3%. In high leverage situations, their bullpen has made 102 appearances. This season, the Padres rank 7th in MLB with a 73.0% save rate, having deployed 313 relievers.
Defensively, the Padres have turned 82 double plays and sport a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). They have recorded 817 assists, 34 errors, and 2,465 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.8% over 7,395 innings (16th in MLB).
Buehler (62-34 win-loss record in his career) possesses a 3.66 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.28, having faced 3,842 batters throughout his MLB journey. He has allowed 377 earned runs and maintains a WHIP of 1.177 and a FIP of 3.6. Buehler has given up 808 hits and racked up 926 strikeouts over 926 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Choose San Diego (+110)
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