New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Insights, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals Insights, 7/11/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals
  • Scheduled Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
  • Venue: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
  • Broadcast: Nationals.TV
  • Betting Odds: New York Yankees (-196) Washington Nationals (+162)

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The Washington Nationals (48-46) are set to take on the New York Yankees (51-42) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The betting odds feature New York at -196, with Washington at +162. The total runs over/under is set at 8. Projected starting pitchers are Cam Schlittler and Miles Mikolas.

MLB Predictions by Ben Rice for New York Yankees

This season, the New York Yankees are hitting .420 with 842 strikeouts and 356 walks, tallying 427 RBIs and 725 hits. Their current batting average stands at .235, and they have connected for 139 doubles and 135 home runs. The team has scored 448 runs, boasting an on-base percentage of .316. Averaging 4.8 runs per game, the Yankees rank 9th in the league.

The Yankees are currently posting a 3.41 ERA (2nd in the league), with 810 strikeouts recorded by their pitching staff. They’ve allowed 91 home runs and 363 total runs (6th in the league). Their pitchers have surrendered 706 hits (averaging 7.7 per 9 innings) and recorded 312 earned runs. The overall strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.91, and the team holds a WHIP of 1.19.

New York’s relievers have entered games with runners on base 105 times, making 98 appearances in pressure situations. The bullpen has garnered 44 holds this season (21st in MLB). They’ve converted 61.8% of their save opportunities, totaling 21 saves out of 34 attempts. This season, the bullpen has inherited 156 runners, of which 26.9% have scored. The Yankees have utilized 306 relief pitchers throughout the year.

In 7,422 innings, the Yankees have converted 70.8% of balls put into play into outs, ranking 9th in professional baseball. The team has 2,474 putouts, 812 assists, and 53 errors, boasting a fielding percentage of .984, which ranks 20th in the majors, along with 62 double plays.

Schlittler has taken the mound for 185 innings, achieving 215 strikeouts in his professional career. His career record stands at 13-8, with a FIP of 2.35 after facing 746 batters in the majors. He holds an ERA of 2.38 (49 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.043, giving up 141 hits (6.9 hits every 9 innings) and issuing 52 walks.

The Nationals have a collective slugging percentage of .435 and score an average of 5.40 runs per game (1st in the MLB). They have recorded 161 doubles, drawn 324 walks, and scored 508 runs. Washington has hit 132 home runs this season and achieved 484 RBIs, while striking out 777 times (18th in MLB) with 809 hits. The team’s OBP is .325 and batting average sits at .251 this season.

The Nationals hold a combined WHIP of 1.394 with a team FIP of 4.71. They rank low in the league, allowing a total of 845 hits and yielding 495 runs, reflecting a team ERA of 4.76 (446 earned runs allowed). The strikeout-to-walk ratio is at 7.90, accumulating 744 strikeouts against 330 walks. They’ve surrendered 130 home runs while allowing 5.28 runs per 9 innings, ranking 28th in baseball.

In 107 save opportunities, the Nationals have recorded 50 holds alongside 25 blown saves. Their relievers have been called upon 52 times in save situations, converting 27 of them. The relief pitchers have a 43.9% inherited scoring rate for 139 inherited runners, entering high-leverage situations 101 times and 90 times with runners on base. This season, they are 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.9%, sending 299 relievers to the mound.

Over 7,593 innings in the field, the Nationals have a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (26th in MLB). They’ve recorded 74 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .979 (30th in the league). The team has 857 assists, 73 errors, and 2,531 putouts to date.

Career-wise, Mikolas has allowed 1,378 hits while striking out 945 batters over 1,342 innings. With a career record of 75-82, he maintains a 4.35 earned run average while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. Mikolas has allowed a total of 648 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.224 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.57 after facing 5,602 opposing hitters.

Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Bet on New York (-196)

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Pick: New York Yankees (-196)
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