- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
- Broadcast: Cardinals.TV
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (-196) St. Louis (+162)
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This Saturday, the St. Louis Cardinals (48-44) face off against the Atlanta Braves (54-38) at Busch Stadium. The moneyline odds show the Braves at -196, while the Cardinals are positioned at +162. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs, with Reynaldo Lopez and Matthew Liberatore expected to be the starting pitchers.
The Atlanta Braves are averaging 4.9 runs per game, ranking them 6th in the league. With a total of 454 runs and a team on-base percentage of .314, the Braves have also hit 144 doubles and launched 120 home runs this season. They’ve recorded 439 RBIs and have a collective batting average of .249 with 779 hits. Atlanta holds a slugging percentage of .414, has struck out 741 times, and drawn 277 walks.
On the pitching side, the Braves have a team ERA of 3.61, placing them 5th in Major League Baseball, with 778 strikeouts recorded. Their pitchers have allowed 104 home runs and 359 runs (4th in the league) this season. With a walk total of 308 and a FIP of 4.12, Atlanta’s staff has given up 701 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 328 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 2.53, and the overall WHIP is recorded at 1.24.
This season, 290 relief pitchers have been called upon from the bullpen, with 88 inherited runners—27.3% of whom scored. The Braves’ relief unit has achieved 65 holds, ranking 3rd in MLB, while entering 104 high-leverage situations and recording 27 saves from 36 opportunities, leading to a 75.0% save rate.
This season, the Atlanta Braves boast 2,450 putouts, 759 assists, and have committed 42 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). They have successfully turned 71 double plays and converted 71.6% of balls in play into outs across 7,350 innings, ranking 4th in the league.
Pitcher Reynaldo Lopez has logged 876 innings in his career, with 817 strikeouts and a career ERA of 3.89 (allowing 379 earned runs). He has given up 800 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and issued 317 walks. With a career win-loss record of 51-55, Lopez has faced 3,698 batters and holds a FIP of 3.83.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a team slugging percentage of .393 and score an average of 4.57 runs per game, placing them 12th in the league. Their stats include 129 doubles, 295 walks, and 420 total runs, along with 105 home runs and 408 RBIs. However, the Cardinals have struck out 709 times (27th) and totaled 753 hits, holding an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .244 this year.
With a pitching staff WHIP of 1.342 and FIP of 4.19, the Cardinals’ strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 7.60 with 691 strikeouts versus 309 walks. They have allowed 793 hits and 93 home runs this season, yielding 4.57 runs every 9 innings (15th in the league). The pitching unit has conceded 417 runs, culminating in an ERA of 4.21 (384 earned runs).
The Cardinals rank 16th in MLB with a save rate of 64.3% and have utilized 312 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has faced high-leverage situations 104 times and has seen 107 save opportunities, securing 62 holds yet registering 15 blown saves. In 42 save chances, they have managed 27 saves, with an inherited runner scoring rate of 35.9% out of 153 inherited runners.
Defensively, the St. Louis Cardinals have turned 82 double plays, while achieving a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). They’ve tallied 865 assists, 44 errors, and a total of 2,465 putouts across 7,395 innings, yielding a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (20th in MLB).
In his MLB career, Matthew Liberatore has permitted 446 hits and accumulated 354 strikeouts across 421 innings pitched. His career stats include 224 earned runs, a WHIP of 1.406, and a FIP of 4.7. He has faced 1,832 batters and holds a K/BB ratio of 2.42, with a win-loss record of 20-30 and an earned run average of 4.79, allowing an average of 9.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game, covering the spread or winning on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (-196)
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