- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
- Broadcast: Detroit SportsNet
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (-128) Detroit (+106)
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This Saturday, Comerica Park will host an exciting matchup between the Detroit Tigers (43-50) and the Philadelphia Phillies (52-42). Currently, the odds favor the Phillies at -128, while the Tigers are set at +106. The over/under for total runs is set at 9. Expected starters for this game include Cristopher Sanchez for Philadelphia and Casey Mize for Detroit.
As a collective, the Philadelphia Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them 18th across the league. They’ve scored a total of 413 runs with a team on-base percentage (OBP) of .304. The Phillies have recorded 126 doubles and hit 123 home runs this season, totaling 398 RBIs and amassing 750 hits, with a batting average of .237. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, and they’ve struck out 823 times while walking 279 times.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff holds a K/BB ratio of 3.39 and has a team WHIP of 1.32. They have surrendered 111 home runs and a total of 422 runs (18th in MLB). The Phillies have given up 830 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings), as well as 393 earned runs. Their cumulative ERA is 4.24, ranking them 16th in the league, with a total of 919 strikeouts and 271 walks issued. The team’s FIP currently stands at 3.76.
This season, the Phillies have utilized 315 relief pitchers. These relievers have inherited 99 base runners, with 34.3% of them crossing home plate. The bullpen has recorded 38 holds (26th in MLB). They’ve entered games with runners on base 72 times and had 83 high-leverage appearances, achieving 28 saves but blowing 10 of 38 save opportunities for a save percentage of 73.7% in 78 chances.
On defense, the Phillies have converted 66.8% of batted balls into outs over their 7,500 innings played, placing them 29th in professional baseball. This season, they have recorded 2,500 putouts, 771 assists, and 45 errors, maintaining a fielding percentage of .986, ranking 14th overall, along with 48 double plays.
Sanchez has pitched 655 innings in his MLB career, racking up 646 strikeouts and holding an ERA of 3.13 with 228 earned runs allowed. His career WHIP is 1.164, allowing 611 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) along with 152 walks. Sanchez has a career record of 40-25 and a FIP of 3.08 based on 2,689 batters faced.
The Detroit Tigers have a slugging percentage of .399 and score an average of 4.25 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have 137 doubles, 336 walks, and have scored 395 runs total. This season, they’ve hit 111 home runs with 377 RBIs, striking out 808 times (11th in MLB) and achieving 730 hits. The Tigers hold a .314 OBP and a .236 batting average.
Detroit’s pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.217 and a FIP of 3.88. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 8.40 (767 strikeouts, 274 walks). Ranked 7th in baseball for hits allowed, they’ve conceded 723, with 94 home runs allowed and an average of 4.09 runs per 9 innings (7th overall). The Tigers have given up 372 runs this season, with a 3.66 team ERA (333 earned runs).
Currently, they rank 29th in the league with a 47.4% save percentage and have used 285 bullpen pitchers this year. This group has appeared in high-leverage situations 75 times and faced runners on base 102 times. Out of 82 save opportunities, the Tigers have 42 holds and 20 blown saves. In 38 save chances, their bullpen has achieved 18 saves and inherited 28.4% of their 155 inherited runners have scored.
In 7,377 defensive innings, the Tigers display a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (8th in professional baseball). Detroit has executed 66 double plays this season with a fielding rate of .988 (7th overall). They also have 807 assists, 41 errors, and a total of 2,459 putouts.
So far in his career, Mize has allowed 500 hits while striking out 437 batters across 511 innings. Mize holds a career record of 27-30 and has an earned run average of 3.98, conceding 8.8 hits per nine innings, totaling 226 earned runs. His WHIP is 1.246 with a FIP of 3.9, and he carries a K/BB ratio of 3.19, having faced 2,149 batters in the majors.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or on the moneyline?
Selection: Bet on Philadelphia (-128)
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