- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins
- Scheduled Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
- Venue: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Cleveland (-128) Miami (+106)
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On Sunday, the Miami Marlins (52-43) welcome the Cleveland Guardians (49-46) at LoanDepot Park. The betting lines show Cleveland favored at -128 against Miami at +106, with an over/under set at 8.5. The starting pitchers for this clash will be Joey Cantillo and Ryan Gusto.
The Guardians have recorded 144 doubles this season and have hit 91 home runs. They currently hold a slugging percentage of .368 and have been struck out 793 times, while drawing 348 walks. On average, Cleveland scores 4.0 runs per game, ranking 29th in MLB. This season, they have achieved 359 RBIs and 710 hits, with a batting average of .227 and an on-base percentage of .309.
Cleveland’s pitching boasts a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.26. Their pitchers have given up 109 home runs and 384 runs this season, ranking 8th in the league. The Guardians have allowed a total of 747 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and a total of 351 earned runs. With a team ERA of 3.76 (8th in MLB), their staff has amassed 852 strikeouts and walked 315 batters, maintaining a FIP of 4.00 this season.
The Cleveland bullpen has achieved a 77.5% save percentage and participated in 119 save situations. This season, they have recorded 31 saves out of 40 opportunities with 9 blown saves. Relievers have inherited 141 runners, with a 23.4% scoring rate. Cleveland pitchers have faced bases-loaded scenarios 91 times, with 122 high-leverage situations throughout the season. A total of 319 relief pitchers have taken to the mound, leading the league with 78 holds this year.
So far, the Cleveland Guardians have completed 2,522 putouts, 759 assists, and committed 47 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in MLB) and turning 65 double plays. They have secured 70.1% of the balls in play resulting in outs across 7,566 innings, placing them 14th in the league.
Cantillo has pitched 230 innings in his career, achieving 248 strikeouts. His current ERA stands at 3.68 (94 earned runs), and he maintains a career WHIP of 1.317. With 199 hits allowed (7.8 hits per nine innings) and 104 walks, Cantillo holds a career record of 14-11 and a FIP of 3.62, having faced 972 batters in the majors.
The Miami Marlins have posted an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .254 this season. They have struck out 760 times (22nd in MLB) and accumulated 802 hits, with 97 home runs and 419 RBIs. The Marlins’ slugging percentage is at .413, averaging 4.59 runs per game (11th in MLB). They have achieved 162 doubles, walked 328 times, and scored 436 runs.
With a team WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 3.99, the Miami pitching staff ranks 4th in restricting total hits with only 712 allowed. They have given up 406 runs and carry a team ERA of 4.02 (373 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.60 (798 strikeouts vs. 320 walks), allowing 93 home runs and 4.37 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).
Currently, their bullpen’s save rate is 67.6%, with 303 relief pitchers utilized this year. The Marlins’ pen has entered 89 high-pressure situations and faced 81 occurrences with runners on base. They’ve recorded 91 save opportunities, with 55 holds and 11 blown saves. Miami’s relievers have converted 23 saves out of 34 save chances, with 20.0% of inherited runners scoring.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have executed 64 double plays with a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in MLB). They have registered 772 assists, 58 errors, and 2,508 putouts thus far. Their defensive efficiency stands at 71.1% over 7,524 innings, placing them 8th in the league.
In his MLB career, Gusto has allowed 143 hits and recorded 120 strikeouts in 127 innings. He has conceded 79 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.485 and a FIP of 5.5. Gusto’s K/BB ratio is 2.61, facing 574 batters during his career. With a record of 7-9, he carries an ERA of 5.59 and allows 10.1 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Miami (+106)
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