Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds
Event Date: Wednesday, September 3, 2025
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Broadcast: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
Betting Odds: Toronto (-210) Cincinnati (+172)
The Cincinnati Reds (70-68) will host the Toronto Blue Jays (79-59) at the Great American Ball Park this Wednesday. According to the latest odds, the Blue Jays are favored at -210 while the Reds are sitting at +172, with a total over/under of 8.5 runs. The slated starting pitchers for this matchup are Shane Bieber and Zack Littell.
The Toronto Blue Jays are ranked 7th in Major League Baseball, scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game. This season, they’ve notched 679 runs with a robust on-base percentage of .337. As a collective, the Blue Jays have hit 249 doubles and launched 164 home runs, accumulating a total of 655 RBIs and 1,261 hits, leading to a batting average of .268. Their slugging percentage is .429, although they’ve struck out 928 times and drawn 447 walks.
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With a K/BB ratio of 2.81, the Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a combined WHIP of 1.27. They’ve allowed 187 home runs and 624 runs total (ranking 19th in MLB). This season, Toronto’s pitchers have surrendered 1,118 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 578 earned runs, boasting a team ERA of 4.25 (20th overall). They have recorded 1,224 strikeouts while allowing 436 walks, with a FIP of 4.35.
Toronto’s bullpen has achieved a save percentage of 62.3%, entering 147 save situations. They’ve inherited 213 base runners this season, with a 30% scoring rate. This season, Blue Jays relievers have taken the mound with runners on base 148 times, recording 142 high-leverage appearances. With 479 total relievers deployed this season, they currently hold 82 holds (ranked 11th) and have 38 saves with 23 blown saves across 61 opportunities.
Overall, the Blue Jays have converted 70% of balls in play into outs over 11,025 innings, placing them at 14th in MLB. They have recorded 3,675 putouts, along with 1,046 assists and 78 errors for a fielding percentage of .984, ranking 25th in baseball, while achieving 98 double plays.
Shane Bieber has pitched 854 innings during his career, earning 973 strikeouts to date. He boasts a career ERA of 3.21 with 305 earned runs. Bieber has allowed 759 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 188 walks, holding a WHIP of 1.109. With a win-loss record of 63-33, Bieber’s FIP stands at 3.17 after facing 3,456 hitters.
The Cincinnati Reds have hit 136 home runs this year with 581 RBIs. They have recorded 220 doubles, walked 451 times, and notched a total of 616 runs. The Reds have an on-base percentage of .317 and a team batting average of .247 for the season. Their slugging percentage is .391, averaging 4.46 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have struck out 1,196 times (11th in baseball) and have secured 1,148 hits.
This season, the Reds’ pitching staff has allowed 582 runs with a team ERA of 3.85 (522 earned runs). They’ve allowed 157 home runs and concede an average of 4.29 runs per 9 innings (ranking 13th in the league). Cincinnati’s WHIP is 1.236 with a FIP of 4.07. Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.60 (1,165 strikeouts to 428 walks), ranking 7th for most hits allowed with a total of 1,081.
Cincinnati’s relievers have been called upon in 52 save situations and have notched 32 saves, giving them a 61.5% save percentage (20th overall). This season, they have utilized 472 bullpen pitchers. Their relievers have appeared in high-pressure situations 142 times and faced runners on base 125 times, with an inherited scoring rate of 31.7% from 186 inherited runners. Out of 142 save opportunities, the Reds also have 88 holds but have blown 20 saves.
On defense, the Reds have turned 88 double plays and hold a .984 fielding percentage (26th in MLB). Their total includes 1,045 assists, 79 errors, and 3,665 putouts. With 10,995 innings played, Cincinnati holds a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (6th in baseball).
In his career, Zack Littell has allowed 577 hits while recording 476 strikeouts in 577 innings pitched. Littell holds a career ERA of 3.84, giving up 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has yielded 246 earned runs and possesses a WHIP of 1.225 with a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.66, having faced 2,411 hitters.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB battle against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Pick: Support Toronto (-210)
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