Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Outlook, 7/17/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Outlook, 7/17/2026 MLB Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs
  • Scheduled Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
  • Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
  • Broadcast: Marquee
  • Betting Odds: Minnesota (+110) Chicago (-130)

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Wrigley Field will be the battleground as the Chicago Cubs (54-42) go head-to-head against the Minnesota Twins (48-49) this Friday. The odds are favoring Chicago at -130 while Minnesota opens at +110. The over/under for this matchup is set at 8 runs. Starting pitchers are expected to be Taj Bradley and Colin Rea.

MLB Predictions for Trevor Larnach of the Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins have been scoring an average of 4.9 runs per game, which places them 6th in the league. They have accumulated 471 runs with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .323. The Twins have hit 162 doubles and 120 home runs, along with 449 RBIs and 810 hits this season, giving them a batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage is at .415, and they have faced 796 strikeouts, while walking 323 times.

The Twins possess a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.30 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.37. They have allowed 115 home runs and 485 runs this season (ranking 25th in the league). Minnesota has given up 827 hits, averaging 8.7 hits per nine innings, and has allowed 440 earned runs. Their team earned run average (ERA) stands at 4.62 (24th in MLB), with 804 strikeouts and 349 walks recorded. Their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at 4.36.

This year, the Twins have used 316 relief pitchers. With 152 inherited runners, 34.9% have scored. The relief team has secured 61 holds (6th in the league). Twins pitchers faced runners on base 100 times, with 103 high-pressure situations. They have secured 27 saves out of 39 opportunities, posting a save percentage of 69.2% this season.

The Twins have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs throughout 7,707 innings, ranking 24th in professional baseball. They have tallied 2,569 putouts, 718 assists, and made 51 errors for a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in baseball), while turning 66 double plays.

Pitcher Taj Bradley has thrown for 487 innings, collecting 528 strikeouts in his MLB career. He holds an ERA of 4.60 (allowing 249 earned runs) and a career WHIP of 1.285. He has allowed 444 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and issued 182 walks. With a 28-30 career record, he has faced 2,074 batters and has a FIP of 4.53.

The Chicago Cubs have an on-base percentage of .336 this season, with a team batting average of .244. They have struck out 808 times (13th in MLB) and achieved 798 hits. The Cubs have 121 home runs and 452 RBIs, with a slugging percentage of .411 and averaging 5.04 runs per game (5th in the league). They have recorded 154 doubles, while walking 417 times and scoring 484 runs.

Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 432 runs this year, with a team ERA of 4.34 (411 earned runs). Surrendering 148 home runs, the Cubs give up 4.56 runs every nine innings (17th in baseball). Their team WHIP stands at 1.278, with a FIP of 4.78. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 7.90 (748 strikeouts vs. 296 walks), ranking them 19th in total hits allowed, at 794.

Cubs relievers have inherited 143 runners, with a score inherited percentage of 32.2%. This bullpen has pitched in 94 high-stress situations, and from 98 entries with base runners. Out of 79 save opportunities, Chicago has earned 36 holds and endured 17 blown saves. The Cubs rank 26th in the league with a save percentage of 54.1%, utilizing 315 relief pitchers this season.

In their 7,680 innings of play, the Cubs’ defensive efficiency is at 71.7% (4th in professional baseball). Chicago has executed 72 double plays and boasts a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). They have made 884 assists, committed 37 errors, and recorded 2,560 putouts this year.

Pitcher Colin Rea has given up 688 hits in his MLB career, striking out 563 batters across 700 innings. With a career record of 44-32, he has an ERA of 4.46 and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. Rea has given up 347 earned runs, holds a WHIP of 1.294, and has a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.58, having faced 2,983 batters so far.

Which team will prevail in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?

Prediction: Choose Minnesota (+110)

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Pick: Minnesota Twins (+110)
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