- Matchup: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Scheduled Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
- Broadcast: Brewers.TV
- Betting Odds: Miami (+106) Milwaukee (-128)
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The Miami Marlins (52-45) are set to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (59-37) at American Family Field this Friday. Current odds show Miami at +106 while Milwaukee is positioned at -128, with the over/under set at 8. Scheduled to pitch are Sandy Alcantara and Logan Henderson.
This season, the Marlins boast a slugging percentage of .411, having struck out 778 times and secured 334 walks. They’ve achieved 422 RBIs and recorded 817 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .253. The Marlins have accumulated 165 doubles and 98 home runs, scoring a total of 439 runs. Their on-base percentage (OBP) stands at .330, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league.
With an ERA of 4.02 this year (10th in MLB), the Marlins’ pitching staff has struck out 815 batters. This season, they’ve allowed 95 home runs and a total of 415 runs (11th in baseball). Their pitching unit has issued 325 walks, with a FIP of 3.98. They have conceded 734 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 381 earned runs, resulting in a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and a collective WHIP of 1.24.
This year, Marlins pitchers have entered games with runners on base 84 times, displaying experience in 90 high leverage situations. The bullpen has secured 55 holds, ranking 11th in MLB. With a save percentage of 67.6%, they have navigated 91 save situations successfully, achieving 23 saves while failing in 11 of 34 attempts. Collectively, the relief pitchers have dealt with 125 inherited runners, with 20.0% scoring. Miami has utilized 311 relievers throughout the season.
Defensively, the Miami Marlins have recorded 2,562 putouts, 788 assists, and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage of .982 ranks 25th in baseball, with 69 double plays executed. The Marlins have converted 70.8% of batted balls into outs across 7,686 innings, placing them 9th in professional baseball.
Alcantara has pitched 1,205 innings in his career, amassing 1,031 strikeouts. He maintains an ERA of 3.69, allowing 494 earned runs and carrying a WHIP of 1.181. He has conceded 1,061 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) while walking 363 batters. With a career record of 62-72, his FIP stands at 3.63, having faced 4,968 opponents in the majors.
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit 89 home runs this season, accompanied by 463 RBIs. They have tallied 175 doubles, 397 walks, and scored 489 runs. The Brewers are currently sporting an on-base percentage of .337 and a batting average of .254, with a slugging percentage of .398. Averaging 5.09 runs per game, they rank 4th in the league. The team has struck out 784 times (20th in MLB) and recorded 832 hits.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.169 with a collective FIP of 3.59. They rank 2nd in the league for total hits allowed, having conceded 694 hits this season. The Brewers’ pitchers have given up 363 runs while maintaining an ERA of 3.48. Their K/BB ratio stands impressively at 9.70, with 928 strikeouts compared to 309 walks. Allowing 95 home runs, they give up 3.81 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league).
Milwaukee’s relief pitchers have inherited 114 runners, with a scoring rate of 40.4%. They have appeared in 99 high leverage situations and 79 with runners aboard. In 92 save situations, the Brewers have collected 46 holds alongside 15 blown saves, resulting in a save rate of 66.7%—15th in the league. They have utilized 293 bullpen pitchers this year.
Defensively, the Brewers have executed 71 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 6th in professional baseball. With 737 assists, 40 errors, and 2,576 putouts recorded this season, they have established a defensive efficiency of 71.3% across 7,728 innings (6th in MLB).
Logan Henderson has allowed 38 hits in his MLB career, recording 67 strikeouts over 53 innings. He has given up 15 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 0.996 and a FIP of 2.5. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is an impressive 4.47, having faced 210 opposing batters with a record of 6-1 and an ERA of 2.54, whilst allowing 6.4 hits per 9 innings.
Who will take home the victory in tonight’s MLB encounter, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Back Milwaukee (-128)
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