- Matchup: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: New York (+120) Philadelphia (-144)
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This Sunday, the Philadelphia Phillies (54-44) will host the New York Mets (41-57) at Citizens Bank Park. The betting lines feature New York at +120, while Philadelphia opens at -144. The over/under for this game is set at 8 runs. Scheduled to pitch are Nolan McLean and Alan Rangel.
The New York Mets are currently hitting with a slugging percentage of .382, having struck out 805 times and walked 305 times this season. They have 383 RBIs and amassed 768 hits, maintaining a batting average of .233. The team has achieved 121 doubles and has hit 115 home runs, with a total of 402 runs scored and an on-base percentage of .303. Averaging 4.1 runs per game, the Mets rank 26th in Major League Baseball.
New York’s team ERA currently stands at 4.24, placing them 18th in the league, as their pitching staff has accrued 894 strikeouts. They have permitted 108 home runs and a total of 464 runs (21st in baseball), along with 352 walks. The Mets’ FIP for the season is 4.03. They’ve yielded 788 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 412 earned runs, boasting a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.30.
This season, the Mets’ bullpen has utilized 305 relief pitchers. These pitchers have inherited 130 baserunners, with 29.2% of them crossing home plate. The bullpen has achieved 38 holds (27th in MLB) but has blown 13 of 30 save opportunities, culminating in a 56.7% save rate over 68 save situations.
On the defensive side, the Mets have registered 2,624 putouts, 799 assists, and 66 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks 29th in MLB. They’ve turned 53 double plays and converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs during their 7,872 innings, ranking 22nd in the majors.
Pitcher Nolan McLean has logged 155 innings, fanning 182 batters throughout his career. With an 11-7 career record, he holds a FIP of 3.03 and has faced 636 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.08, allowing 53 earned runs, while maintaining a WHIP of 1.096 and surrendering 115 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings), alongside a total of 55 walks.
The Philadelphia Phillies possess a team OBP of .302 and a batting average of .235. This season, they have struck out 860 times (6th in MLB) and logged 774 hits. With 125 home runs and 410 RBIs, the Phillies achieve a team slugging percentage of .397, averaging 4.34 runs per game, which places them 18th in the league. They’ve also recorded 132 doubles and drawn 288 walks, accumulating a total of 425 runs.
As a pitching staff, the Phillies have a WHIP of 1.317 and a FIP sitting at 3.79. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.90 (957 strikeouts to 286 walks), and they rank 26th in MLB for total hits allowed with 857. With 118 home runs allowed, they yield 4.54 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB) and have conceded 438 runs this season, arriving at an overall team ERA of 4.23 (408 earned runs).
The Phillies have executed 39 holds and 10 blown saves in 80 save situations this season. Their relief pitchers have converted 29 of 39 save opportunities, showcasing a 74.4% save rate, which ranks them 3rd in the league. With a total of 325 bullpen pitchers used, their inherited score rate stands at 34.7% for 101 inherited runners.
Across 7,815 innings, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in professional baseball), logging 55 double plays and a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). This season, they’ve recorded 803 assists, committed 48 errors and made 2,605 putouts.
Alan Rangel has allowed 28 hits and accumulated 30 strikeouts over 30 innings in his career. He has permitted 12 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 1.429 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio stands at 2.00, and he’s faced 131 batters. Rangel holds an 0-2 career record with a 3.59 ERA, allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back New York (+120)
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