- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
- Event Date: Monday, July 20, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Baltimore (+106) Boston (-128)
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This Monday, Fenway Park will host an exciting matchup between the Boston Red Sox (49-48) and the Baltimore Orioles (48-51). The odds are set with Baltimore at +106 and Boston at -128, with an over/under total of 8 runs. The game is expected to feature starting pitchers Shane Baz and Payton Tolle.
Baltimore is showcasing a slugging percentage of .397, having been struck out 908 times while drawing walks 381 times. The team has notched 439 RBIs and 781 hits this season, yielding a team batting average of .237. Additionally, the Orioles have recorded 147 doubles and 118 home runs. They have managed to score 454 runs and possess an on-base percentage of .320. Averaging 4.6 runs per game, they sit at 11th place in the league.
Defensively, the Orioles possess a team ERA of 4.23 (ranking 16th in MLB) with 784 strikeouts. They have surrendered 108 home runs and allowed a total of 470 runs (21st in baseball). Baltimore’s pitchers have walked 344 batters, with a collective FIP of 4.17. Over the season, they have given up 848 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 414 earned runs, achieving a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.35.
In high-pressure situations, Baltimore’s relief pitchers have entered games with opponents on base 92 times and have appeared in 97 crucial moments. The bullpen has recorded 53 holds this year, ranking 14th in the league. They have a save percentage of 66.7% after entering 90 save opportunities, successfully achieving 24 saves while converting 12 of 36 chances. The bullpen has inherited 127 runners this season, with 26.8% scoring. So far, the Orioles have utilized 326 relievers in 2026.
The Baltimore Orioles have registered 2,642 putouts, along with 854 assists and 61 errors this season. Their fielding percentage stands at .983, placing them 23rd in Major League Baseball. They have executed a total of 72 double plays and converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs in 7,926 innings, ranking 23rd in the league.
Shane Baz, with a career record of 21-26, has a FIP of 4.17 and has faced 1,678 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 361 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) along with 145 walks. His ERA is 4.24, having allowed 187 earned runs, and he possesses a WHIP of 1.274. Baz has completed 397 innings with an impressive 392 strikeouts during his major league career.
The Boston Red Sox, meanwhile, feature a team slugging percentage of .394, averaging 4.20 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have hit 172 doubles, drawn 294 walks, and scored 407 runs. With 93 home runs and 390 RBIs, the Red Sox have struck out 797 times (ranking 23rd) and achieved 793 hits, leading to a team on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .244.
On the mound, the Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 3.79 this season. Their K/BB ratio stands at an impressive 8.60 (821 strikeouts versus 279 walks). Boston’s pitching staff ranks 9th in the league for hits allowed, having given up 765 hits and 99 home runs while allowing 3.84 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). Their season ERA sits at 3.56, having surrendered 367 runs (340 of which are earned).
The Boston bullpen has inherited 31.9% of their 113 runners without a score. Their relievers have seen action in 82 high-leverage situations and 79 times with runners on base. Out of 96 save opportunities, the Red Sox have achieved 60 holds and suffered 9 blown saves, boasting a 73.5% save percentage, ranking 4th overall in MLB with 299 different bullpen pitchers used this season.
Defensively, the Red Sox have turned 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB), with 826 assists, 45 errors, and 2,578 putouts in the season. They have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.4% over 7,734 innings (13th in MLB).
Tolle, with a career record of 5-7, has allowed 83 hits and struck out 106 batters across 100 innings pitched. His career ERA stands at 3.60, permitting 7.5 hits per 9 innings, with a WHIP of 1.159 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.21, having faced 415 batters throughout his professional journey.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread and the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Boston (-128) and under 8 runs
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