- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners
- Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
- Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+126) Seattle (-152)
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The Cincinnati Reds (45-53) will be taking their talents to T-Mobile Park on Tuesday, aiming to secure a victory against the Seattle Mariners (50-50). The betting line sees Cincinnati starting at +126 and Seattle at -152. The total runs for this matchup is set at 9, with the expected starting pitchers being Chase Burns and Luis Castillo.
The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .401, with 919 strikeouts and 358 walks recorded. They have accumulated 395 RBIs and 761 hits so far this season, boasting a batting average of .231. Cincinnati’s roster has achieved 152 doubles and launched 129 homers, totaling 414 runs while maintaining an on-base percentage of .311. They are averaging 4.2 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the league.
Their strikeout-to-walk ratio sits at 1.86, and the team’s combined WHIP stands at 1.43. Reds pitchers have given up 133 home runs and 473 runs this season (22nd league-wide). Cincinnati has allowed 822 hits (averaging 8.5 per 9 innings) and 443 earned runs. Their team ERA is at 4.57, ranking 23rd in the league, while fanning 793 batters. They’ve issued 427 walks, leading to a team FIP of 4.89 this season.
Reds relievers have a save percentage of 55.3%, participating in 90 save situations with 21 successful saves out of 38 chances. Relief pitchers inherited 152 runners this season, allowing 27.0% to score. The Reds’ bullpen has taken the mound with inherited runners 109 times and has made 114 high-pressure appearances. So far, 348 relief pitchers have contributed throughout the season, notching 51 holds (16th in MLB).
Chase Burns has pitched for 145 innings, accumulating 185 career strikeouts. With an 11-4 win-loss record, he possesses a FIP of 3.11 after facing 601 hitters in Major League Baseball. His current ERA stands at 3.16 (51 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.177. He has permitted 118 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and issued 53 walks.
The Seattle Mariners own an on-base percentage of .309, with a season batting average of .228. They have been struck out 860 times (11th in the league) and have achieved 752 hits. Seattle boasts 118 home runs and 387 RBIs this season. Their slugging percentage is .377, and they score an average of 4.02 runs per game (28th in the league). The Mariners have 122 doubles, recorded 334 walks, and scored 402 runs.
The Mariners’ pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.180 and a collective FIP of 3.54. They rank 13th in total hits allowed with 795. The Seattle pitching unit has conceded 389 runs and sports a team ERA of 3.61, yielding 355 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.80, with 862 strikeouts to only 249 walks. They have surrendered 95 home runs and allow just 3.96 runs per 9 innings, ranking 6th in MLB.
Seattle’s bullpen shows a 29.2% inherited scoring rate from 96 inherited runners. They have pitched in 104 high-leverage situations and 70 times with runners on base. With 94 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 55 holds while incurring 15 blown saves. Their save rate is 60.5%, placing them 19th in the league, and they have utilized 298 relief pitchers throughout the season.
Over their 7,968 innings played, the Mariners demonstrate a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (20th in professional baseball). Additionally, the Seattle Mariners have successfully turned 85 double plays, maintaining a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in the majors). They’ve gathered 811 assists, 52 errors, and recorded 2,656 putouts this season.
Castillo (career mark of 87-92) holds a 3.64 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.27, facing 6,214 opposing batters throughout his professional career. Castillo has allowed 605 earned runs, maintains a WHIP of 1.189, and boasts a FIP of 3.6. In his professional journey, he has faced 1,300 hits and recorded 1,574 strikeouts over 1,497 innings。
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cincinnati (+126)
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