- Ismael Bonfim vs Axel Sola: A Showdown in Abu Dhabi
- UFC Showdown in Abu Dhabi
- Venue: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
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This upcoming bout features Ismael Bonfim facing off against Axel Sola at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The current moneyline has Bonfim at +170 and Sola at -200.
Ismael “Marreta” Bonfim enters the octagon with a professional record of 20 wins and 6 losses (20-6-0). At 30 years old, he weighs in at 155 lbs and stands at 5’8″ tall with a reach of 71 inches. In contrast, Axel Sola, measuring at 6’0″ and also weighing 155 lbs, carries a record of 11 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw (11-1-1). The 28-year-old southpaw boasts a reach of 74 inches. In terms of striking statistics, Bonfim averages 5.51 significant strikes landed per minute, while Sola lands 4.07 strikes. Bonfim’s striking accuracy sits at 54%, whereas Sola connects with 45% of his strikes. When it comes to defense, Bonfim absorbs 3.71 strikes per minute compared to Sola’s 5.29; he successfully deflects 65% of strikes aimed at him, while Sola deflects 61%.
| UFC Event | Ismael Bonfim | Axel Sola |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +170 | -200 |
| Record | 20-6-0 | 11-1-1 |
| Average Fight Duration | 9:26 | 13:31 |
| Height | 5’8″ | 6’0″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 71″ | 74″ |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.51 | 4.07 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 45% |
In the grappling department, Ismael Bonfim has some limitations, achieving a takedown rate of 1.06 per three rounds. He secures takedowns on 33% of his attempts and successfully defends against 76% of takedown attempts. On the other hand, Sola successfully takes his opponents down 36% of the time while defending against only 15% of the takedown attempts made against him. Bonfim is more prolific in submissions, attempting an average of 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes, compared to Sola’s 0.3 attempts.
In his last matchup, Ismael Bonfim faced Chris Padilla and unfortunately suffered a knockout via a punch to the head during the second round. Padilla managed to land 88 out of 134 total strikes in that fight, while Bonfim landed 47 of 89 attempted strikes. Notably, Padilla’s significant striking rate was 58%, including 33 out of 60 significant strikes aimed at the head. Meanwhile, Bonfim landed 50% of his significant strikes, which totaled 42 out of 84 attempts, with 27 aimed at the head. A staggering 67% of the significant strikes landed by Padilla, and all of Bonfim’s were from a distance.
In Axel Sola’s most recent bout, he went up against Mason Jones and lost via unanimous decision after round 3. Jones hit 75% of his significant strikes attempted from distance while Sola achieved a striking success rate of 93% at distance. Sola landed 48% of his significant strikes, totaling 65 out of 135, directing 49 of those attacks aimed at the head. Jones, however, landed 110 out of 236 total strikes, including 76 out of 193 aimed at the head.
Additional Fights to Keep an Eye On
Another exciting matchup to watch is between Nurullo Aliev and Mike Davis. Aliev boasts an undefeated record of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands at 5’10” with a reach of 72 inches. Meanwhile, Davis stands at 6’0″ and also weighs 155 lbs, looking to improve his record of 12-3-0. Aliev scores an average of 2.12 takedowns every 15 minutes, while Davis lands 2.40 takedowns per three rounds. In striking, Aliev connects at a rate of 2.72 strikes per minute with an accuracy of 44%. On the flip side, Mike Davis has an accuracy of 53%, landing 4.73 strikes per minute.
A highly anticipated bout features Bogdan Guskov squaring off against Magomed Ankalaev. Ankalaev arrives with a record of 21-2-1 (1 NC) at 34 years old, weighing 205 lbs and standing at 6’3″ with a reach of 75 inches. Guskov, also 6’3″ and 205 lbs, enters with a record of 18-3-1. Ankalaev successfully defends against 87% of takedown attempts and attempts takedowns on 22% of his attempts. Comparatively, Guskov completes takedowns on 15% of his attempts while defending 57% of his opponents’ takedowns. In striking, Ankalaev absorbs 2.59 strikes per minute while landing 3.65, whereas Guskov absorbs 4.09 strikes and delivers 4.57 strikes per minute.
Who do you think will win tonight’s UFC match against the spread?
Prediction: Go with Ismael Bonfim (+170)
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