- Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
- Scheduled Date: Friday, July 24, 2026
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: NESN
- Betting Odds: Toronto (+106) Boston (-128)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (currently at 46-56) are traveling to Fenway Park this Friday to face off against the Boston Red Sox (recording 52-49). The moneyline for this matchup has the Blue Jays at +106 while the Red Sox come in at -128. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs. Starting pitchers include Trey Yesavage for the Blue Jays and Patrick Sandoval for the Red Sox.
This season, the Toronto Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .378, and they have struck out 738 times while drawing 277 walks. The team has racked up 385 RBIs and a total of 822 hits, leading to a .241 batting average. They’ve produced 153 doubles and 102 home runs, amassing 402 runs with an on-base percentage of .302. The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game, positioning them at 30th in the league.
The Blue Jays pitch with an ERA of 4.18 (ranking 13th in the league) and have tallied 904 strikeouts this season. They have allowed 113 home runs and a total of 465 runs (18th overall). The pitching staff has issued 361 walks, and their FIP stands at 4.02 for the year. The Blue Jays have given up 830 hits (averaging 8.3 hits per 9 innings) and 420 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.50, with a collective WHIP of 1.32.
This season, Toronto pitchers have faced runners on base 111 times, entering high-pressure situations 115 times. The bullpen has recorded 64 holds (7th overall) and has a save rate of 69.8%, having entered 110 save opportunities and converting 30 saves, with 13 blown saves out of 43 attempts. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 runners, with 29.4% scoring. So far, 376 relief pitchers have been used this season.
On defense, the Blue Jays have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs over 8,133 defensive innings, ranking 24th in the majors. They have compiled 2,711 putouts, 858 assists, and 68 errors, leading to a fielding percentage of .981, which ranks 27th in professional baseball. They have turned 72 double plays.
Trey Yesavage, with a career record of 5-5, holds a FIP of 3.64. He has faced 397 batters, allowing 66 hits (6.3 hits per nine innings) with 48 walks. His ERA is 3.69, having permitted 39 earned runs, and his WHIP is 1.200. Yesavage has pitched 95 innings, accumulating 94 strikeouts throughout his career.
For the Red Sox, their team slugging percentage sits at .393, averaging 4.22 runs per game (22nd in MLB). They have achieved 177 doubles, drawn 300 walks, and tallied 426 runs. Boston has hit 96 home runs this season, along with 408 RBIs. They have struck out 822 times (23rd in baseball) and amassed 823 hits, with a .314 on-base percentage and a .244 batting average this year.
The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.223 and a FIP of 3.78 as a unit. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is notable at 8.60 (857 strikeouts vs. 291 walks), ranking them 9th for the fewest hits allowed in the league with 804. They have surrendered 102 home runs and an average of 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). Overall, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 381 runs this season, sporting a collective ERA of 3.56.
With a save percentage of 75.0%, the Red Sox have deployed 312 relievers this season. Their bullpen has appeared in 85 high-leverage situations and 82 times with runners on. Out of 100 save attempts, they’ve achieved 62 holds with 9 blown saves. Boston’s bullpen has entered 36 save chances, converting 27 into successful saves, with an inherited score rate of 30.5% for 118 inherited runners.
In their 8,058 innings, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency rate of 70.2% (13th among major leagues). They have also turned 69 double plays, boasting a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Red Sox have accumulated 864 assists, made 45 errors, and recorded 2,686 putouts this season.
Patrick Sandoval has a career record of 19-45, featuring a 4.03 ERA while allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.26, having faced 2,376 batters. He has permitted 244 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.398 and a FIP of 4.0. Throughout his MLB career, Sandoval has given up 524 hits and accumulated 539 strikeouts over 545 innings.
Who will take home the win tonight against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Toronto (+106)
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